TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a68…9b6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Valorant: DRX vs SLT (BO3)backed SLT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+270.4%+$31.35
Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3)backed ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE (BO3)backed FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)backed Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+260.8%+$282.95
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)backed MIBR Female · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$142.49
Valorant: MIBR Female vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+242.6%+$158.74
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.39
Valorant: MIBR Female vs G2 Gozen (BO3)backed MIBR Female · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+319.6%+$277.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+196.2%+$350.75
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$204.55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$153.41
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$182.79
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+115.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+389.4%+$135.1
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed FRK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$42.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.