TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof NRG, Imperial
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$635,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Imperial62c102,704$63,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,303.487363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked NRG39c60,000$23,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,400944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Imperial62c35,699$22,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,565.4621051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed NRG39c34,889$13,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,552.429942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Imperial59c26,182$15,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,690.7845848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed NRG38c25,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG34c23,779$8,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,175.871,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed NRG37c20,270$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NRG38c19,737$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50060853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Imperial61c19,180$11,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,571.953767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Imperial79c18,702$14,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.7583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Imperial59c17,887$10,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,251.7333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Imperial63c15,873$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.0281751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Imperial76c15,687$11,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,768.368749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NRG39c15,564$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,993.1867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed NRG38c15,242$5,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7923633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Imperial62c13,158$8,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked NRG38c13,111$4,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.17646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed NRG39c12,870$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked NRG38c10,862$4,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,127.7217148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Imperial63c10,266$6,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.3923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed NRG39c9,900$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,86130340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NRG14c9,317$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.373,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Imperial61c8,375$5,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.5211758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed NRG39c7,655$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.4510549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Imperial61c7,000$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.978042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial65c6,485$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.594,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG0c6,036$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked NRG39c5,805$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.711353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed NRG31c5,037$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5509234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked NRG39c5,035$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.2713646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Imperial62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed NRG43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed NRG41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05028248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked NRG51c4,998$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.3316448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Imperial61c4,799$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.611,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed NRG42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602a…0d75backed NRG52c4,235$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed NRG41c4,100$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68028453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed NRG39c4,081$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.326344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Imperial63c3,908$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.9697952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Imperial60c3,825$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Imperial53c3,438$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.61,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG31c3,058$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.021,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed NRG21c2,865$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.7521846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed NRG27c2,541$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.381266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed NRG18c2,500$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.54850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked NRG40c2,472$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed NRG37c2,414$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.035736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed NRG41c2,412$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed NRG39c2,304$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.5623852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed NRG39c2,275$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.972227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3950…a421backed NRG38c2,200$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6368…183ebacked Imperial62c2,200$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed NRG39c2,019$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG21c2,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked NRG35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Imperial58c1,995$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.1729855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed NRG27c1,970$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53896545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed NRG14c1,949$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.484827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed Imperial59c1,900$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7798657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Imperial63c1,900$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.991770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Imperial62c1,885$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.34362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f92…983dbacked NRG38c1,801$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4033…9a6fbacked Imperial62c1,800$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Imperial62c1,658$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5210855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked NRG39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58523932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Imperial61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.999343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7c…981cbacked NRG36c1,471$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.084334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Imperial56c1,465$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.5961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Imperial49c1,409$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.262,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Imperial61c1,400$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55022056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ec7…f874backed NRG37c1,398$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Imperial63c1,387$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.195455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked NRG37c1,369$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.291,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd90…8482backed NRG38c1,323$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Imperial62c1,320$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.620855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x014a…8aefbacked Imperial57c1,261$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed NRG43c1,260$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c0…1885backed NRG39c1,256$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…f035backed NRG40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked Imperial60c1,249$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.569252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Imperial60c1,207$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial61c1,200$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2575145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed NRG13c1,200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15242057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked NRG39c1,179$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46061754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x928e…d701backed Imperial54c1,160$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5344852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed NRG39c1,153$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.5425951.4%133 W · 126 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Imperial57c1,145$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3513954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed NRG35c1,142$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.8710252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Imperial64c1,123$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.2515749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Imperial63c1,111$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed NRG22c1,100$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6510951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed NRG40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed NRG38c999.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38544648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Imperial75c983.6$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.958651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5341…2b42backed Imperial62c967.74$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Imperial62c950$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36110442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed NRG24c900$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-71.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.