CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x485f7d62a44451599d01ed9d0ed2d5cd674a7baef3634bb46866253bf4395887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof NRG, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked NRG | 9c | 18,591$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.89 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed NRG | 9c | 12,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NRG | 20c | 10,885$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.95 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed NRG | 9c | 10,341$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.42 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Imperial | 53c | 4,698$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.38 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 22c | 3,254$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 28c | 2,940$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.08 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed NRG | 5c | 2,839$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed NRG | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Imperial | 53c | 2,480$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.6 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Imperial | 76c | 1,868$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.47 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG | 46c | 1,835$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.15 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 7c | 1,800$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Imperial | 56c | 1,507$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.69 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac04…e9e4backed NRG | 48c | 1,446$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Imperial | 56c | 1,392$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.54 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Imperial | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed NRG | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 44c | 752.71$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.19 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Imperial | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…d9c6backed NRG | 4c | 672.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked NRG | 45c | 667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NRG | 13c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed NRG | 19c | 555$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…f197backed NRG | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Imperial | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NRG | 11c | 400.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Imperial | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG | 12c | 288$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed NRG | 8c | 260$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed NRG | 46c | 251.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG | 11c | 250.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NRG | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed NRG | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed NRG | 48c | 227.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NRG | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Imperial | 56c | 216.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Imperial | 63c | 203.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Imperial | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed NRG | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed NRG | 26c | 177$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Imperial | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed NRG | 44c | 151$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Imperial | 72c | 146.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Imperial | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…c8fbbacked NRG | 23c | 134.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed NRG | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9b…2d24backed NRG | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked NRG | 46c | 113.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed NRG | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…6366backed NRG | 48c | 105.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed NRG | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed NRG | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…8920backed Imperial | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked NRG | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…e14ebacked NRG | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked NRG | 26c | 45.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked NRG | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…037abacked NRG | 42c | 39.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Imperial | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed NRG | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…79e4backed NRG | 40c | 31.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Imperial | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Imperial | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d58…327fbacked Imperial | 76c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)Imperial won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.