TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c27…f6f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wood vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.75
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$567.06
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyesbacked Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$452.35
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$857.97
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$139.62
UFC Fight Night: Walker and Ortega backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.76
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.47
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.32
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+138.9%+$319.6
UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriaultbacked Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.25
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.22
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.32
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzebacked Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.89
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,306.93
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$128.68
Cannonier vs. Rodriguesbacked Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+195.1%+$390.28
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$128.79
Thicknesse vs. Topuriabacked Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$251.29
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+154.6%+$304.73
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$244.18
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$296.43
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$964.9
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+400%+$385.99
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,179.59
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$258.3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$161
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.39
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,773.52
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,887Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,886.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$383.3
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$200.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$352.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$38.77
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.98
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$115.67
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+68.1%+$58.45
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$65.32
Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+116.5%+$14.07
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+163.2%+$42.23
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$73.94
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$364.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+54.1%+$146.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+62.3%+$89.69
Will Team Spirit win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.42
Will G2 win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$188.23
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+128.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,022.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.