CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52d97334cb189b3517bf4e2d34bcbe66f52617f601f15280c6963d4d337542e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ | 45c | 57,204$25,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,495.69 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 51c | 12,735$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,495.6 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Vitality | 59c | 10,035$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.77 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Vitality | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed MOUZ | 41c | 9,769$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.47 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed MOUZ | 38c | 8,405$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.28 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Vitality | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Vitality | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Vitality | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Vitality | 65c | 6,920$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.52 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ | 41c | 5,607$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.86 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed MOUZ | 39c | 4,912$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.42 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Vitality | 57c | 4,900$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Vitality | 55c | 4,873$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.89 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Vitality | 59c | 4,872$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.67 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked MOUZ | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Vitality | 59c | 4,751$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.27 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Vitality | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.09 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked MOUZ | 45c | 4,504$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.49 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vitality | 45c | 4,240$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.54 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Vitality | 46c | 4,135$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.05 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Vitality | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…8390backed Vitality | 60c | 3,880$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 59c | 3,800$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Vitality | 60c | 3,718$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.47 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed MOUZ | 42c | 3,594$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.58 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Vitality | 60c | 3,393$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.9 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed MOUZ | 40c | 3,235$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.81 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Vitality | 60c | 3,000$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.87 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Vitality | 61c | 2,522$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.48 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed MOUZ | 40c | 2,511$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.11 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Vitality | 55c | 2,487$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.22 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,396$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,266$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vitality | 54c | 2,251$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.5 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Vitality | 61c | 2,035$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.75 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Vitality | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.9 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,898$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Vitality | 55c | 1,818$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.45 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,650$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,646$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Vitality | 63c | 1,603$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.22 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,545$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.91 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Vitality | 49c | 1,532$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.64 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Vitality | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Vitality | 55c | 1,515$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.94 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,420$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.2 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,400$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Vitality | 60c | 1,392$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.3 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,365$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.59 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,319$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Vitality | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…9d71backed Vitality | 54c | 1,283$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 57c | 1,277$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.8 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,275$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Vitality | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Vitality | 60c | 1,165$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.19 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Vitality | 59c | 1,153$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,099$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Vitality | 56c | 931.29$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…ebd8backed Vitality | 59c | 894$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Vitality | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…68bebacked Vitality | 59c | 884$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed MOUZ | 47c | 842.55$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed MOUZ | 41c | 812.2$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Vitality | 52c | 799.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed MOUZ | 22c | 754.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.16 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 42c | 745.4$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed MOUZ | 41c | 738$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.58 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…695fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 656.51$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 629.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.44 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Vitality | 58c | 624.68$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 49c | 614.67$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…19dabacked Vitality | 49c | 587.03$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Vitality | 60c | 544.19$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.47 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality | 59c | 540.68$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…d71cbacked MOUZ | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed MOUZ | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Vitality | 44c | 477.09$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked MOUZ | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Vitality | 80c | 467.03$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed MOUZ | 46c | 446.52$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Vitality | 66c | 434.59$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Vitality | 45c | 427.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed MOUZ | 41c | 423$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Vitality | 59c | 415.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Vitality | 54c | 407.04$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Vitality | 54c | 371.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…5c13backed Vitality | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…1a7ebacked Vitality | 76c | 359.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Vitality | 66c | 358.16$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Vitality | 43c | 352.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MOUZ | 41c | 332$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.