CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf2cc930610ad76418b558bcc7c061eac334d54be16d1fa57124242d8858643b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5d…5244backed MOUZ | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed MOUZ | 59c | 8,451$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.54 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Vitality | 59c | 3,000$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 20c | 2,434$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.61 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 30c | 2,091$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Vitality | 34c | 2,065$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.62 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Vitality | 15c | 1,901$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.36 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,795$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vitality | 40c | 1,569$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.01 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Vitality | 27c | 1,455$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.89 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Vitality | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,190$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.72 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Vitality | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Vitality | 50c | 999$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.49 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Vitality | 11c | 939.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.63 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Vitality | 57c | 870.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality | 2c | 863.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.21 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…783fbacked MOUZ | 40c | 774.5$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ | 40c | 708.26$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.31 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Vitality | 52c | 697$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Vitality | 22c | 669.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Vitality | 29c | 569.86$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.85 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked MOUZ | 71c | 502$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.31 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Vitality | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…8d39backed Vitality | 64c | 461$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Vitality | 32c | 456.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.15 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Vitality | 63c | 450.94$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Vitality | 26c | 402.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.71 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Vitality | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality | 63c | 384.34$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.27 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 59c | 368.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 36c | 366.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…93d4backed Vitality | 31c | 319.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…68bebacked Vitality | 32c | 276$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 42c | 272$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked MOUZ | 37c | 258.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked MOUZ | 41c | 250.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Vitality | 22c | 229.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Vitality | 19c | 220$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ | 17c | 162.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked MOUZ | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vitality | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 44c | 123.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…f72fbacked Vitality | 63c | 110.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…4df2backed Vitality | 61c | 106.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ | 59c | 102.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 75c | 100.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…8d5fbacked MOUZ | 71c | 95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed MOUZ | 76c | 90.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Vitality | 33c | 81.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Vitality | 35c | 76.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…6ff3backed Vitality | 60c | 72.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Vitality | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked MOUZ | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 39c | 57.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…c5e9backed Vitality | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed MOUZ | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Vitality | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked MOUZ | 80c | 45.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed MOUZ | 46c | 43.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 67c | 42.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked MOUZ | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Vitality | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed MOUZ | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked Vitality | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed MOUZ | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked MOUZ | 74c | 20.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…f5b4backed Vitality | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Vitality | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…ebd8backed Vitality | 59c | 19.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.