CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3004fbbbf8717c33a8f3a67a9790227d84e8cfa3e93ab19eba214f397ace8975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc1d…fedebacked Yes | 19c | 20,680$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 74c | 6,261$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.25 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…9d71backed Yes | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 45c | 4,794$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Yes | 70c | 3,976$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.37 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 3,674$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.04 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 66c | 3,046$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked No | 35c | 2,748$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.42 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 40c | 2,331$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.56 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked No | 61c | 1,000$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.08 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 33c | 863$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 56c | 723.52$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 20c | 545.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 351.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a6c2backed No | 61c | 328.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 36c | 312.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…f682backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…8babbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked Yes | 38c | 261.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…4bf8backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…754bbacked Yes | 38c | 226.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…b5eebacked Yes | 57c | 209.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed Yes | 22c | 178.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…ff19backed Yes | 33c | 149.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62f…413ebacked Yes | 67c | 148.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 143.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed No | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 42c | 111.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…7198backed Yes | 46c | 107.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…7a55backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 55c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…9490backed Yes | 39c | 38.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…606ebacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3e5cbacked Yes | 71c | 28.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…46d4backed No | 59c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…4644backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…cb8ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?this page
- Will 3DMAX win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will Astralis win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will Furia win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?Yes won
- Will MOUZ win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will Team Falcons win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will Team Spirit win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.