CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd065d6c6c890ed70236412f93aa158dc540c67cbe0ce8ac85d73b996d9fd38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74c7…7974backed Yes | 54c | 1,103$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Yes | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 631.09$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Yes | 35c | 256.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…cc50backed Yes | 35c | 202.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 182$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 24c | 178.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 29c | 147$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 58c | 113.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked No | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 60c | 48.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…9c6abacked Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…b7c1backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Falcons win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?this page
- Will 3DMAX win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will Astralis win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will Furia win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?Yes won
- Will MOUZ win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will Team Spirit win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.