AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20cc003f4a4e1587148fb9629cda11d0db9a48aed16a3a50f6d024c58c615157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $667,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 18c | 50,822$9,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,568.05 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…aacebacked Yes | 6c | 41,571$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,063.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,228.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…42d6backed Yes | 3c | 28,657$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,757.52 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 73c | 18,221$13,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.06 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b5bcbacked Yes | 2c | 18,110$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,751.58 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 17,772$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.45 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 7c | 10,448$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,767.39 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…d668backed Yes | 13c | 9,844$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,603.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…4a93backed Yes | 11c | 8,671$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,758.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +850.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 7,480$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.42 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed No | 5c | 5,826$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 5,484$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.41 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 5,218$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.49 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 27c | 5,177$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.38 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…dafcbacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…6cf5backed Yes | 7c | 4,937$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 8c | 4,899$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.92 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 4c | 4,470$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…be9ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,121$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.12 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,365$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.1 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 54c | 2,793$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…154bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,708$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,254.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…063fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,638$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 2,460$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 7c | 2,207$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 1c | 2,163$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.06 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed Yes | 7c | 2,099$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 10c | 1,980$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,931$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.78 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 3c | 1,925$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Yes | 8c | 1,687$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5200backed Yes | 19c | 1,617$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 1,600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.97 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…b2a5backed No | 3c | 1,588$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 8c | 1,366$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.17 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Yes | 7c | 1,318$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,233.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,308$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.03 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…09ddbacked Yes | 5c | 1,300$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 5c | 1,094$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.08 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc86…16cdbacked No | 2c | 1,085$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 17c | 1,052$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes | 6c | 1,020$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +246.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…d683backed No | 3c | 1,001$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +351%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3166…a9febacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 2c | 925$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.57 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 6c | 771.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 46c | 665.75$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…233bbacked Yes | 6c | 620.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c87…b44bbacked No | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 11c | 543.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +251.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…fe6bbacked Yes | 58c | 500$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 14c | 499.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.72 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…ced6backed Yes | 46c | 460$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…7ff6backed Yes | 9c | 453.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +332.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes | 8c | 450$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +258.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7121…afd2backed Yes | 8c | 448.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…161bbacked Yes | 7c | 448.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…2ca3backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…4cc7backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,718.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 10c | 393.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…2ad4backed No | 3c | 386.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 6c | 378.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a14backed Yes | 8c | 376.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +323.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…771dbacked Yes | 73c | 358.62$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…543fbacked Yes | 10c | 356.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…f7bcbacked Yes | 5c | 356$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…1767backed Yes | 5c | 349.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…e56bbacked Yes | 6c | 344.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…8ae2backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b5…6950backed Yes | 6c | 325.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 60c | 322.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…58f5backed Yes | 34c | 304.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 6c | 283$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…6b18backed Yes | 5c | 279.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +380.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 10c | 267$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…6de5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 56c | 245.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 62c | 234.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 6c | 230.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…83d5backed Yes | 8c | 230$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5776…b9c4backed Yes | 7c | 215.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +619%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…e7e1backed Yes | 6c | 211.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +489.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bd19backed Yes | 6c | 205.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,507.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked Yes | 14c | 200.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…c302backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 184.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 14c | 176.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…abc1backed Yes | 9c | 170$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes | 9c | 167.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…8bc7backed Yes | 7c | 158.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +620.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…0939backed Yes | 10c | 154.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…a08cbacked Yes | 22c | 138.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Yes | 17c | 137.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 51c | 127.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on March 31?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.