UFC · resolved market
Jones vs. Miocic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ee3bc5571ed6784a1d60ba65cfe84cbb9d1858135735d1c518ea1e4173ee66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jonesof Jones, Miocic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,232,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,182,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,232,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2b…27a9backed Miocic | 13c | 138,615$18,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,406.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Miocic | 14c | 90,100$12,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,615.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Miocic | 15c | 75,484$11,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Miocic | 16c | 55,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdd…07f3backed Miocic | 1c | 43,066$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Miocic | 14c | 29,950$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…d442backed Miocic | 19c | 26,811$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Miocic | 16c | 26,662$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…e9c7backed Miocic | 1c | 21,681$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe7…17d5backed Miocic | 19c | 16,823$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Miocic | 12c | 16,279$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.34 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Miocic | 17c | 10,957$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…c29cbacked Miocic | 19c | 10,526$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Miocic | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Miocic | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…a715backed Miocic | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Miocic | 16c | 9,815$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.41 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Miocic | 17c | 9,768$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Miocic | 15c | 8,747$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.29 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd314…2859backed Miocic | 15c | 7,753$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f0babacked Miocic | 16c | 7,628$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Miocic | 17c | 7,523$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Jones | 75c | 7,500$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…3a0bbacked Miocic | 21c | 7,376$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…53d0backed Miocic | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Miocic | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…5ce8backed Miocic | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…b577backed Miocic | 26c | 5,851$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Miocic | 16c | 5,823$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.8 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Miocic | 17c | 5,753$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Miocic | 13c | 5,388$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.78 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Miocic | 21c | 5,138$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Miocic | 17c | 5,103$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.34 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Miocic | 17c | 5,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…96d7backed Miocic | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked Miocic | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…23d7backed Miocic | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2c…a4cebacked Miocic | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Miocic | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Miocic | 16c | 4,989$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.17 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…698abacked Miocic | 15c | 4,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Miocic | 11c | 4,771$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Miocic | 13c | 4,721$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Miocic | 15c | 4,665$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…dd7ebacked Miocic | 22c | 4,447$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc601…77e1backed Miocic | 23c | 4,331$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Miocic | 6c | 4,256$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…77a1backed Miocic | 16c | 4,166$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Miocic | 18c | 4,045$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Miocic | 14c | 3,859$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…2f94backed Miocic | 17c | 3,745$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Miocic | 17c | 3,347$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…78cbbacked Miocic | 25c | 3,218$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb483…0461backed Miocic | 2c | 3,024$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…23f0backed Miocic | 17c | 3,023$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…f1b6backed Miocic | 14c | 3,018$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Jones | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…d879backed Miocic | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Miocic | 17c | 3,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…e680backed Miocic | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…fb72backed Miocic | 18c | 2,842$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…b9b7backed Miocic | 18c | 2,795$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb8…26febacked Miocic | 19c | 2,698$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba0…6b03backed Miocic | 18c | 2,690$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Miocic | 14c | 2,619$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Miocic | 17c | 2,560$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.53 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Miocic | 16c | 2,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Miocic | 16c | 2,300$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Miocic | 15c | 2,233$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…a174backed Miocic | 19c | 2,199$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Miocic | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Miocic | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Miocic | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…326cbacked Miocic | 18c | 1,995$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…573abacked Miocic | 14c | 1,969$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…4ff8backed Jones | 78c | 1,895$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…db44backed Miocic | 5c | 1,852$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Miocic | 17c | 1,848$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…212dbacked Miocic | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked Miocic | 19c | 1,750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed Miocic | 18c | 1,665$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…7a4dbacked Miocic | 18c | 1,647$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Miocic | 13c | 1,613$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…69aebacked Miocic | 18c | 1,589$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…e26bbacked Miocic | 18c | 1,572$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…873abacked Miocic | 17c | 1,558$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Miocic | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Miocic | 7c | 1,500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…3241backed Miocic | 16c | 1,457$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…02aebacked Miocic | 18c | 1,388$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Miocic | 14c | 1,300$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…a9fdbacked Miocic | 19c | 1,275$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Miocic | 20c | 1,255$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3220…cba1backed Miocic | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Jones | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Miocic | 25c | 1,189$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…5703backed Miocic | 17c | 1,165$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…2fa6backed Miocic | 9c | 1,155$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Miocic | 17c | 1,144$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…298bbacked Miocic | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jones vs. Miocicthis page
- Araujo vs. SilvaAraujo won
- Nickal vs. CraigNickal won
- Oliveira vs. ChandlerOliveira won
- Ruffy vs. LlontopRuffy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.