TailMyPicks
Market

Boxing · resolved market

Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivol

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bivolof Beterbiev, Bivol
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c0e…3f36backed Bivol66c33,250$22,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,139.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Beterbiev51c21,407$10,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,921.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Beterbiev2c20,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+222%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e07…050fbacked Beterbiev55c14,551$7,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Bivol45c13,203$5,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,261.67450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863f…8775backed Beterbiev33c8,362$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Beterbiev37c6,082$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.051729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Bivol51c5,868$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.14850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Bivol47c4,500$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Beterbiev51c3,907$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b5…a252backed Bivol54c3,787$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Beterbiev54c3,733$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Beterbiev54c3,673$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…8882backed Beterbiev0c3,186$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Beterbiev54c3,049$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6371553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Beterbiev38c2,795$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Beterbiev3c2,666$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3eb…e855backed Beterbiev53c2,665$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Bivol48c2,622$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.043330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Beterbiev52c2,195$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.144942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Beterbiev44c2,170$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5438backed Beterbiev12c2,135$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Beterbiev52c2,081$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Bivol49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x484c…94d9backed Beterbiev1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Beterbiev51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.991050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d1…546bbacked Bivol53c1,892$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Beterbiev28c1,745$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.892564%16 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Bivol47c1,691$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.491154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Beterbiev50c1,495$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Bivol47c1,454$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.731225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Bivol50c1,313$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Beterbiev53c1,067$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b13…39d3backed Bivol48c1,050$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Bivol49c1,040$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…606bbacked Bivol48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Bivol49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc0…254abacked Beterbiev53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-41.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…f6f9backed Bivol48c916.67$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x817c…3a35backed Beterbiev54c771.59$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Beterbiev71c679$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.041020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc0…aae5backed Bivol47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2440…bf2ebacked Bivol46c600$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Bivol46c499.93$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.965345.3%24 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3819…f3d1backed Bivol48c460.87$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…c420backed Bivol47c449.93$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x141e…8c87backed Bivol46c440.61$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Beterbiev49c440$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed Bivol47c427.36$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…1ff5backed Bivol47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d4…fcecbacked Bivol48c416.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Bivol50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Bivol47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-73.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea2…48f4backed Beterbiev53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Beterbiev16c399.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Beterbiev49c369.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c1…d67bbacked Bivol39c330.31$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.121020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Beterbiev54c321$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…260dbacked Bivol49c304.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Bivol47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1593951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+69.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Bivol53c282.15$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d6…7b17backed Bivol48c260.55$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce4b…6825backed Bivol47c254.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…e97cbacked Bivol49c249.03$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6539…a1b6backed Bivol49c244.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Bivol53c235.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfff5…7835backed Bivol48c229.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f9…ee6dbacked Bivol51c222.83$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Bivol47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e9…fd77backed Bivol48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3712…afccbacked Bivol48c208.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Bivol37c206.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3916…53c7backed Beterbiev49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Beterbiev50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Beterbiev50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Bivol50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc65e…1502backed Beterbiev53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…a5fabacked Beterbiev52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fe…d3d1backed Bivol52c193.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2598…b07bbacked Bivol52c190.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Beterbiev53c190.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Bivol52c189.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Beterbiev53c187.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c56…186abacked Bivol47c177.02$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed14…bebcbacked Bivol48c167$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf211…649abacked Bivol48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa1…f52cbacked Beterbiev54c137.04$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Beterbiev53c132$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b09…a372backed Beterbiev53c131.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed Beterbiev47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7929…cb49backed Bivol48c123.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.724100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de1…896abacked Bivol48c113.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bivol48c111.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26df…f747backed Bivol50c110.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5d…06acbacked Beterbiev53c109.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ccf…d87cbacked Beterbiev53c109.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bb…6b62backed Bivol47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…f9c9backed Beterbiev53c106.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6505…e409backed Beterbiev53c105.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Beterbiev50c105$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.