Boxing · resolved market
Zhilei Zhang vs. Agit Kabayel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdae6b455a0fc616545c1f2b2577323f58810948d2b163df6aa649285d71e7cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kabayelof Zhang, Kabayel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kabayel | 60c | 12,485$7,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Zhang | 40c | 11,850$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…94c3backed Zhang | 43c | 2,003$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Zhang | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Zhang | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Kabayel | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Kabayel | 63c | 755.29$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Kabayel | 63c | 691.86$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Kabayel | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Zhang | 40c | 554.85$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…5f9dbacked Zhang | 41c | 523.31$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…c420backed Zhang | 42c | 448.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kabayel | 56c | 356.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Kabayel | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Zhang | 8c | 333$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Zhang | 32c | 321.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…8cb5backed Zhang | 41c | 244.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3c…40d8backed Zhang | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kabayel | 56c | 234$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…a5fabacked Kabayel | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Zhang | 40c | 190.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Zhang | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f9…ee6dbacked Kabayel | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…b9eabacked Kabayel | 60c | 152$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…4c87backed Zhang | 40c | 152$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…a717backed Zhang | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…fcb5backed Kabayel | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0ce6backed Kabayel | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…ca32backed Zhang | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…b95ebacked Kabayel | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…fdc1backed Zhang | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…d4f0backed Kabayel | 60c | 128$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…6829backed Zhang | 40c | 128$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…8044backed Zhang | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…1034backed Kabayel | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…6c94backed Zhang | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…f42cbacked Zhang | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…3a73backed Kabayel | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a1…1a67backed Kabayel | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee91…dd3cbacked Zhang | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98f…40cebacked Zhang | 42c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…d382backed Kabayel | 58c | 115$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…e10fbacked Zhang | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…3a90backed Kabayel | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…3fcdbacked Kabayel | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3a…e103backed Zhang | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…c6dabacked Zhang | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9458…37e9backed Kabayel | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c3…bc53backed Kabayel | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…4667backed Zhang | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…5b47backed Kabayel | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…fdafbacked Zhang | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…aa9dbacked Kabayel | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…17dabacked Zhang | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…4a02backed Kabayel | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c4…8e68backed Zhang | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa1…f52cbacked Kabayel | 62c | 79.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Zhang | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Kabayel | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Zhang | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…d744backed Zhang | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Zhang | 40c | 48.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Kabayel | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddd…76b2backed Zhang | 41c | 40.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…d733backed Kabayel | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Kabayel | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…717fbacked Zhang | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…c9d7backed Kabayel | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Kabayel | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked Kabayel | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…3b76backed Kabayel | 75c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhilei Zhang vs. Agit Kabayelthis page
- Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry BivolBivol won
- Joshua Buatsi vs. Callum SmithSmith won
- Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Israil MadrimovOrtiz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.