TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Israil Madrimov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ortizof Ortiz, Madrimov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73cb…b0d0backed Ortiz50c3,515$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Madrimov50c1,324$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Ortiz56c1,207$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Ortiz51c1,026$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.51553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Madrimov49c973.47$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4771154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Madrimov50c850$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Madrimov45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Madrimov47c493.47$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.673951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+69.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4630…c420backed Madrimov52c489.04$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Madrimov55c269.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Madrimov50c267$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…0ed9backed Ortiz53c260$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbce…70bebacked Madrimov47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cb…de2fbacked Madrimov48c232$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6bd…54ebbacked Ortiz52c232$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb7…75f4backed Ortiz52c215.51$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce14…4f57backed Madrimov48c215$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d49…dd8fbacked Ortiz52c215$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc712…b9a2backed Madrimov47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa413…c0bebacked Ortiz53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76d…da34backed Ortiz52c202$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…b687backed Madrimov48c202$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Madrimov50c194.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f53…b02bbacked Ortiz54c177$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe473…7641backed Madrimov46c177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad83…775ebacked Ortiz53c174$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f90…24fbbacked Madrimov47c174$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacc…1dc8backed Madrimov48c172$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6d…752bbacked Ortiz52c172$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7374…f2d3backed Ortiz52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30cf…8879backed Madrimov48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48dc…541abacked Ortiz53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29fc…8035backed Ortiz52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd514…e237backed Madrimov48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06d…6a27backed Madrimov47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb90…9026backed Ortiz53c165$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b2…a9a4backed Madrimov47c165$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…ff32backed Madrimov48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae61…cb58backed Ortiz52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Ortiz52c155$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2184…8e76backed Madrimov48c155$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac4…b87ebacked Ortiz52c155$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…41febacked Madrimov47c153$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d3ecbacked Ortiz53c153$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8438…ee6dbacked Ortiz53c151$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfa…6e07backed Madrimov47c151$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de1…dc90backed Ortiz53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x910e…0c2fbacked Madrimov47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0c…9d4dbacked Ortiz53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…9e1fbacked Madrimov47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5d…6f66backed Ortiz52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9efb…a86abacked Ortiz51c145$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44dd…167bbacked Madrimov49c145$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b5…a324backed Madrimov48c145$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc147…1344backed Madrimov48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x135b…5aedbacked Ortiz54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f36…b31bbacked Madrimov46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be9…8dcfbacked Ortiz52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Madrimov50c135$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33f1…5746backed Ortiz53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a4…8207backed Madrimov49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da4…440dbacked Ortiz51c130$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…7aa7backed Madrimov47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7754…f77abacked Ortiz55c130$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf4…6945backed Madrimov45c130$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c7b…d57fbacked Madrimov48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e98…e67cbacked Madrimov46c125$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1463…90f6backed Madrimov49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9dd4backed Ortiz54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3655…1d63backed Ortiz52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9e…dadfbacked Ortiz51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…d042backed Ortiz52c122$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce9…a208backed Madrimov48c122$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b6…b773backed Ortiz52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46aa…51fdbacked Madrimov48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…d264backed Madrimov48c118$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f1…39ccbacked Ortiz52c118$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f9…e04cbacked Madrimov49c117$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…5b61backed Ortiz53c117$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3d…a54bbacked Madrimov47c117$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…3c67backed Ortiz51c117$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf862…d5d0backed Ortiz54c115$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…2464backed Madrimov46c115$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd250…5e4cbacked Madrimov47c115$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8210backed Ortiz53c115$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x869a…91c2backed Madrimov48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d3…4d56backed Ortiz52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a3…7148backed Ortiz52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c9…f01cbacked Madrimov48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd46…fd28backed Madrimov47c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a5…ea72backed Ortiz53c108$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1305…b546backed Ortiz53c101$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…e292backed Madrimov47c101$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Madrimov50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd6…9913backed Madrimov48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e1…7c2fbacked Madrimov48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b2…1c8fbacked Ortiz52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec0…f941backed Ortiz54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f1…715ebacked Ortiz52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0023…3ddcbacked Madrimov48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.