Boxing · resolved market
Joshua Buatsi vs. Callum Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838b8402a07534add8eedaf99781a50f091c81d78449e4474f84136d51c9db3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Smithof Buatsi, Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Buatsi | 62c | 2,323$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Smith | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Smith | 37c | 1,469$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Buatsi | 65c | 1,321$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Smith | 38c | 1,257$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Buatsi | 65c | 832$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Smith | 60c | 389.06$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Smith | 77c | 286.11$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…a5fabacked Buatsi | 49c | 227.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Buatsi | 65c | 198.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Smith | 34c | 187.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Smith | 36c | 109.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…d744backed Buatsi | 32c | 77.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Buatsi | 64c | 65.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Buatsi | 65c | 63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Buatsi | 65c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Buatsi | 68c | 51.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Buatsi | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Buatsi | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94e…d44bbacked Buatsi | 63c | 35.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…9906backed Smith | 32c | 35.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…1327backed Buatsi | 63c | 35.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…eb8dbacked Buatsi | 63c | 34.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…8db5backed Smith | 35c | 34.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…55c4backed Buatsi | 62c | 33.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…b5eebacked Smith | 35c | 33.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9753…d6d6backed Buatsi | 65c | 33.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…b2f0backed Smith | 35c | 33.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…308cbacked Smith | 33c | 33.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…b69dbacked Smith | 36c | 32.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…cb2bbacked Buatsi | 63c | 32.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…25efbacked Smith | 38c | 32.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…b3bdbacked Smith | 36c | 31.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…ce81backed Buatsi | 64c | 31.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…6649backed Buatsi | 63c | 31.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…7b62backed Smith | 36c | 30.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…8c31backed Smith | 37c | 30.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…2742backed Buatsi | 63c | 30.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…17e9backed Smith | 37c | 29.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…731abacked Smith | 37c | 29.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…8f2fbacked Buatsi | 63c | 29.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…01a4backed Buatsi | 64c | 28.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…987ebacked Buatsi | 62c | 27.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1b…5bb6backed Buatsi | 63c | 25.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…435fbacked Buatsi | 64c | 25.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…4c77backed Buatsi | 64c | 25.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…b8ccbacked Buatsi | 65c | 24.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…76e4backed Buatsi | 63c | 23.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b2…3a3cbacked Buatsi | 63c | 22.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…c462backed Buatsi | 66c | 22.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d90…dfbcbacked Buatsi | 64c | 20.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…1ecdbacked Buatsi | 64c | 19.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…9395backed Buatsi | 67c | 19.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Buatsi | 59c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325b…da5bbacked Buatsi | 64c | 18.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…c450backed Buatsi | 63c | 17.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe80…b753backed Buatsi | 64c | 17.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…78c0backed Buatsi | 61c | 16.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Joshua Buatsi vs. Callum Smiththis page
- Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry BivolBivol won
- Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Israil MadrimovOrtiz won
- Zhilei Zhang vs. Agit KabayelKabayel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.