UFC · resolved market
Du Plessis vs. Strickland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3e1d095feb3a95bc8ea89486e397a72914129251a5255ad6828520c2db35010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Du Plessisof Du Plessis, Strickland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $897,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $906,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $897,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Du Plessis | 65c | 309,894$200,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,444.14 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…1058backed Strickland | 37c | 209,442$76,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,978.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed Strickland | 32c | 97,371$31,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,158.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…4f9ebacked Strickland | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Du Plessis | 67c | 74,026$49,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,767.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Strickland | 34c | 31,849$10,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,863.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Strickland | 32c | 30,056$9,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,618.03 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Du Plessis | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Strickland | 32c | 29,314$9,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,380.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Du Plessis | 66c | 20,417$13,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,893.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Strickland | 33c | 20,100$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.95 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Strickland | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…f55ebacked Du Plessis | 68c | 19,788$13,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Du Plessis | 68c | 15,469$10,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.84 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Du Plessis | 68c | 15,376$10,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…490bbacked Strickland | 33c | 15,294$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Du Plessis | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Strickland | 33c | 14,900$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…c02cbacked Strickland | 33c | 14,868$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Strickland | 32c | 13,948$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Strickland | 31c | 13,633$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.24 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…fe87backed Du Plessis | 67c | 12,491$8,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Strickland | 33c | 12,305$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.47 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Strickland | 33c | 12,294$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.67 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Strickland | 32c | 11,499$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Strickland | 33c | 11,361$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…9b33backed Strickland | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…6a4bbacked Strickland | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Du Plessis | 68c | 9,834$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.94 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Du Plessis | 68c | 8,169$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.12 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Strickland | 31c | 6,610$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.57 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Du Plessis | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Du Plessis | 68c | 5,746$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.56 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Strickland | 33c | 5,465$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.4 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Du Plessis | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Strickland | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.98 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…7bf8backed Strickland | 33c | 4,696$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd780…b355backed Du Plessis | 67c | 4,356$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Strickland | 30c | 4,336$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.78 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Du Plessis | 68c | 4,225$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.82 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…3204backed Strickland | 23c | 4,100$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Strickland | 33c | 3,939$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Du Plessis | 68c | 3,691$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Strickland | 33c | 3,123$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Strickland | 32c | 3,112$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…3ef8backed Strickland | 34c | 3,090$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Strickland | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Du Plessis | 68c | 2,922$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Strickland | 30c | 2,642$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.03 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Du Plessis | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Strickland | 32c | 2,355$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Strickland | 34c | 2,191$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed Du Plessis | 67c | 2,164$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Du Plessis | 68c | 2,026$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Strickland | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Strickland | 33c | 1,966$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.65 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Du Plessis | 76c | 1,891$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.09 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Strickland | 8c | 1,658$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf69…8fe2backed Strickland | 33c | 1,636$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Du Plessis | 66c | 1,589$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.3 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Strickland | 33c | 1,504$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Strickland | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Du Plessis | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Strickland | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Strickland | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Du Plessis | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…c7fabacked Du Plessis | 68c | 1,486$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Du Plessis | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Du Plessis | 69c | 1,425$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Strickland | 36c | 1,375$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…1aa3backed Strickland | 32c | 1,252$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Strickland | 32c | 1,225$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Strickland | 32c | 1,141$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Du Plessis | 69c | 1,127$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.65 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…3e8cbacked Strickland | 33c | 1,038$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Du Plessis | 70c | 1,023$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Strickland | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Du Plessis | 67c | 1,006$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Du Plessis | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Strickland | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Strickland | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Strickland | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Du Plessis | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Du Plessis | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Du Plessis | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Du Plessis | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…c894backed Du Plessis | 66c | 980.44$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Du Plessis | 62c | 944.86$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.05 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8003…9032backed Strickland | 32c | 893.94$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…9142backed Du Plessis | 69c | 893.78$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f0…5042backed Du Plessis | 67c | 892.64$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Strickland | 21c | 883.49$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Du Plessis | 68c | 875.96$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Strickland | 34c | 870.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Strickland | 13c | 867.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Strickland | 33c | 813.91$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Du Plessis | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Strickland | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Strickland | 33c | 736.36$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1870…4ac7backed Du Plessis | 68c | 735.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Du Plessis vs. Stricklandthis page
- Cong vs. BrasilCong won
- Jenkins vs. SantosSantos won
- Matthews vs. PradoMatthews won
- Nolan vs. BorshchevNolan won
- Tafa vs. TeixeiraTeixeira won
- Thicknesse vs. TopuriaTopuria won
- Weili vs. SuarezWeili won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.