UFC · resolved market
Tafa vs. Teixeira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x220ffa9079350701e4f5f2120fbe9db1bf641c4b2a3f3b591dcd8feeefb45e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teixeiraof Tafa, Teixeira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tafa | 0c | 36,480$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Teixeira | 58c | 9,515$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Tafa | 42c | 8,505$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Tafa | 41c | 5,260$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.58 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Teixeira | 58c | 3,999$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.02 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Tafa | 43c | 3,993$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.05 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Teixeira | 60c | 2,755$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Tafa | 40c | 2,621$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.61 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Teixeira | 55c | 2,158$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.81 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Teixeira | 58c | 2,136$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Teixeira | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Tafa | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…fe87backed Tafa | 42c | 1,548$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Teixeira | 58c | 1,524$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.65 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Tafa | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked Tafa | 39c | 1,376$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Tafa | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Tafa | 3c | 1,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Teixeira | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tafa | 43c | 1,000$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.6 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Tafa | 44c | 842.89$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Teixeira | 57c | 823.15$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Teixeira | 63c | 797$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.89 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tafa | 44c | 756.82$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Tafa | 41c | 666$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tafa | 41c | 601$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Teixeira | 58c | 540.42$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Teixeira | 58c | 515.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.39 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Teixeira | 61c | 510.28$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Tafa | 42c | 508$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Teixeira | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Teixeira | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Teixeira | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Tafa | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…9938backed Tafa | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed Tafa | 40c | 458.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Teixeira | 57c | 453.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Teixeira | 59c | 424.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…a72dbacked Teixeira | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Teixeira | 58c | 397.67$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Teixeira | 61c | 391.72$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Tafa | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Teixeira | 57c | 351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Teixeira | 58c | 343$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Teixeira | 59c | 338.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…56adbacked Teixeira | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Teixeira | 60c | 317.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Tafa | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…852dbacked Teixeira | 61c | 247.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Tafa | 42c | 239.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Tafa | 42c | 239.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Tafa | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…b494backed Teixeira | 61c | 231.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Tafa | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Teixeira | 61c | 222$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Tafa | 43c | 220$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Tafa | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Tafa | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…09bcbacked Tafa | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…0deebacked Teixeira | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Tafa | 41c | 187.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tafa | 40c | 182.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…3fa3backed Tafa | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Teixeira | 59c | 131.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Teixeira | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Tafa | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Teixeira | 59c | 107.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…91a7backed Teixeira | 56c | 102$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…2b59backed Tafa | 44c | 102$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Teixeira | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8995…13ebbacked Tafa | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Teixeira | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Teixeira | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…4411backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Teixeira | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…13c1backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Tafa | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…2469backed Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…1816backed Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…f401backed Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b1…6fa0backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…04f5backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…e9b2backed Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…b4c0backed Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…f37bbacked Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba0…5fc3backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04a…8c7abacked Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbead…96e0backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…cbc1backed Teixeira | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…327dbacked Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60bc…8909backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf17…6bb2backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…38a5backed Tafa | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…0214backed Teixeira | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…c328backed Tafa | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f3…4388backed Teixeira | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…1155backed Tafa | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…3437backed Teixeira | 56c | 98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…6b6bbacked Teixeira | 56c | 96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…54edbacked Tafa | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tafa vs. Teixeirathis page
- Cong vs. BrasilCong won
- Du Plessis vs. StricklandDu Plessis won
- Jenkins vs. SantosSantos won
- Matthews vs. PradoMatthews won
- Nolan vs. BorshchevNolan won
- Thicknesse vs. TopuriaTopuria won
- Weili vs. SuarezWeili won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.