UFC · resolved market
Weili vs. Suarez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc162a9b2af2d02577a35a4daee0873db620ae59148384b8724620c3dbab2ee36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weiliof Weili, Suarez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20bc…a3a7backed Weili | 50c | 40,571$20,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,458.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Suarez | 51c | 40,009$20,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,474.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Suarez | 51c | 27,607$14,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,214.12 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Suarez | 55c | 26,700$14,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,711.95 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Suarez | 0c | 22,329$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…fe87backed Weili | 44c | 17,388$7,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,805.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Suarez | 57c | 17,335$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,820.42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Suarez | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Suarez | 56c | 6,559$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Weili | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Weili | 43c | 5,050$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Weili | 49c | 4,986$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…f77fbacked Weili | 43c | 4,578$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Weili | 41c | 4,359$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.83 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Weili | 46c | 4,089$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Weili | 44c | 4,015$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Suarez | 26c | 4,007$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Weili | 46c | 3,790$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.77 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Weili | 44c | 3,179$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…334bbacked Weili | 48c | 3,050$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Weili | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Suarez | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Suarez | 56c | 2,473$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Suarez | 59c | 2,450$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Suarez | 59c | 2,312$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.97 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Weili | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Suarez | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Weili | 45c | 1,889$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.69 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4b…d246backed Weili | 44c | 1,699$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…3204backed Weili | 44c | 1,646$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…8b68backed Weili | 43c | 1,524$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Weili | 44c | 1,452$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.03 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Suarez | 6c | 1,367$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Weili | 46c | 1,294$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.63 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Suarez | 59c | 1,267$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Weili | 48c | 1,221$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…9a6fbacked Weili | 48c | 1,194$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Weili | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…3ef8backed Weili | 47c | 1,074$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Weili | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Weili | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Suarez | 54c | 989.98$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Suarez | 28c | 955.19$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.12 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Suarez | 12c | 900$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Suarez | 56c | 889.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Suarez | 57c | 872.16$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Weili | 47c | 811.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Weili | 55c | 801.86$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Suarez | 55c | 778.62$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Weili | 43c | 768.38$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.38 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Suarez | 8c | 748.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Suarez | 53c | 747.87$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.37 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Suarez | 58c | 726.71$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.49 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Weili | 42c | 708.85$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.85 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Weili | 43c | 699$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…4ec7backed Weili | 43c | 690.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Weili | 44c | 689.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed Weili | 48c | 673.29$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Weili | 47c | 672.34$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suarez | 55c | 655.5$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.63 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Weili | 49c | 628.66$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.62 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…613cbacked Suarez | 50c | 605.35$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Suarez | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Weili | 43c | 585.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Suarez | 56c | 576.83$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.02 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…0bd9backed Weili | 43c | 576.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Suarez | 51c | 574.43$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Weili | 42c | 522$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…3b13backed Weili | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Weili | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Weili | 42c | 486.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Weili | 49c | 472.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Weili | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…9938backed Weili | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Weili | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Suarez | 56c | 413.66$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.24 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…3fa3backed Weili | 43c | 406.33$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Weili | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…a72dbacked Weili | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Suarez | 59c | 351.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Suarez | 58c | 345.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Weili | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Weili | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…5fa4backed Weili | 49c | 316.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Suarez | 55c | 314.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Weili | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Suarez | 23c | 305.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Suarez | 12c | 302.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Suarez | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Weili | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Weili | 47c | 294$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…b494backed Weili | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Weili | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Weili | 43c | 275$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b444backed Weili | 44c | 273.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Suarez | 7c | 258.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…baa6backed Weili | 47c | 252.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Suarez | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Weili | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Weili | 48c | 247.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weili vs. Suarezthis page
- Cong vs. BrasilCong won
- Du Plessis vs. StricklandDu Plessis won
- Jenkins vs. SantosSantos won
- Matthews vs. PradoMatthews won
- Nolan vs. BorshchevNolan won
- Tafa vs. TeixeiraTeixeira won
- Thicknesse vs. TopuriaTopuria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.