UFC · resolved market
Jenkins vs. Santos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9656b7501155f91a357fe2346fb366e7884ae2ec483bccf14a11c66d203d07af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santosof Jenkins, Santos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Santos | 67c | 13,942$9,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jenkins | 33c | 13,310$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Santos | 67c | 11,250$7,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.48 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…fe87backed Jenkins | 33c | 6,307$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jenkins | 33c | 4,093$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.73 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Jenkins | 31c | 1,007$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jenkins | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Santos | 66c | 844.06$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.81 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Santos | 65c | 824.74$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.76 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Jenkins | 33c | 746.6$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Jenkins | 36c | 733.85$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Jenkins | 27c | 624.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Jenkins | 35c | 576.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Jenkins | 54c | 567.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Santos | 54c | 548$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.08 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Santos | 46c | 548$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Santos | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Santos | 69c | 355.08$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Jenkins | 32c | 333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Jenkins | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Santos | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Santos | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Santos | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Jenkins | 37c | 273.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Santos | 66c | 229.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Jenkins | 33c | 221.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Santos | 66c | 196.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…a691backed Jenkins | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Jenkins | 35c | 157.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Santos | 67c | 150.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jenkins | 32c | 150.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Santos | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Santos | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Santos | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Santos | 63c | 128.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…f3d1backed Santos | 69c | 108.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Jenkins | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…e690backed Jenkins | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…35e8backed Jenkins | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…029dbacked Santos | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…30c7backed Santos | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…becfbacked Jenkins | 32c | 81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Jenkins | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…f71abacked Santos | 68c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…9fdbbacked Jenkins | 32c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Jenkins | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…c40cbacked Jenkins | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…dda6backed Santos | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…4d64backed Jenkins | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Santos | 67c | 64.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…059bbacked Jenkins | 35c | 61.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Jenkins | 32c | 61.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked Jenkins | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…e6ecbacked Santos | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…1766backed Jenkins | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…9299backed Jenkins | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…49b4backed Jenkins | 34c | 58.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…2535backed Santos | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…6638backed Jenkins | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…faedbacked Santos | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed Santos | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e348backed Jenkins | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Santos | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Santos | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…00bfbacked Santos | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb20…0cf5backed Jenkins | 33c | 44.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…07abbacked Santos | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…e4cfbacked Santos | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd465…5fe8backed Jenkins | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…948fbacked Jenkins | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…a744backed Jenkins | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…9a01backed Santos | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…9117backed Jenkins | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…f6b1backed Santos | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b732backed Jenkins | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…6ee9backed Santos | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Jenkins | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Santos | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…e799backed Santos | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe982…db06backed Jenkins | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f3…4201backed Santos | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Santos | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Santos | 50c | 28.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…f179backed Santos | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…4df2backed Santos | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Santos | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…8a0dbacked Santos | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5553backed Santos | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…4acebacked Santos | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Santos | 51c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…e510backed Santos | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Santos | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…585dbacked Santos | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…0870backed Santos | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…76dbbacked Santos | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…745abacked Santos | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…4425backed Santos | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bb…b761backed Santos | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…184abacked Santos | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…3728backed Santos | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jenkins vs. Santosthis page
- Cong vs. BrasilCong won
- Du Plessis vs. StricklandDu Plessis won
- Matthews vs. PradoMatthews won
- Nolan vs. BorshchevNolan won
- Tafa vs. TeixeiraTeixeira won
- Thicknesse vs. TopuriaTopuria won
- Weili vs. SuarezWeili won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.