UFC · resolved market
Cong vs. Brasil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb118711636ac3e40874b44ef59ab624cb7cbf327c113b0c1a12c755ae25ae588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Congof Cong, Brasil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Cong | 76c | 38,810$29,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,431.59 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Brasil | 23c | 19,625$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.31 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Brasil | 26c | 5,855$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.34 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…fe87backed Brasil | 28c | 5,499$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brasil | 24c | 5,191$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.82 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Brasil | 23c | 1,395$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Cong | 77c | 1,298$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Brasil | 25c | 1,200$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brasil | 25c | 1,091$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.87 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f74…64f1backed Cong | 76c | 1,045$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Brasil | 23c | 1,006$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brasil | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Brasil | 30c | 968.58$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brasil | 23c | 904.06$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…b318backed Brasil | 25c | 902.72$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed Brasil | 25c | 870.29$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Cong | 73c | 843.99$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cong | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Cong | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Cong | 74c | 561.89$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cong | 72c | 511.95$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Cong | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brasil | 24c | 495.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Brasil | 25c | 428$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cong | 71c | 412.98$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Brasil | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Cong | 73c | 399.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Cong | 69c | 392.61$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Brasil | 28c | 359.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Brasil | 28c | 350$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cong | 72c | 331.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Brasil | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cong | 74c | 272.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Brasil | 26c | 261$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Brasil | 25c | 200.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Cong | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…d3dbbacked Brasil | 24c | 195.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Brasil | 26c | 192.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…80e0backed Brasil | 24c | 185.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cong | 78c | 184.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…2c06backed Brasil | 25c | 183.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Brasil | 27c | 182.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…75dabacked Brasil | 25c | 178.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…b4f5backed Brasil | 27c | 166.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Cong | 74c | 165.18$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked Cong | 72c | 159.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…2465backed Cong | 78c | 140.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…a2e0backed Cong | 77c | 139$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…251ebacked Brasil | 24c | 134.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Cong | 72c | 132.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…f330backed Brasil | 23c | 130.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…f44cbacked Cong | 75c | 116.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Cong | 75c | 114.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Brasil | 22c | 109.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Cong | 76c | 104.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…f3d1backed Cong | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Brasil | 25c | 100.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…9955backed Brasil | 22c | 85.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…9299backed Cong | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Cong | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…e1e4backed Brasil | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Brasil | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…98bdbacked Brasil | 28c | 70.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1060…a32dbacked Cong | 77c | 70.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…bfcdbacked Brasil | 23c | 67.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…5741backed Cong | 78c | 66.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…92efbacked Cong | 77c | 66.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Cong | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…6d02backed Cong | 77c | 64.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b9…7604backed Cong | 77c | 63.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…4022backed Cong | 77c | 61.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009f…358abacked Brasil | 25c | 61.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…05cebacked Cong | 77c | 60.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…9a24backed Brasil | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cong | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…175ebacked Cong | 77c | 59.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…21a7backed Cong | 78c | 59.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…57c3backed Cong | 78c | 59.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…371dbacked Cong | 77c | 58.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…6da4backed Cong | 77c | 58.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…9874backed Cong | 77c | 57.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…57c1backed Brasil | 28c | 57.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…1d6dbacked Cong | 78c | 55.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…9cadbacked Cong | 77c | 54.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Cong | 74c | 51.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…ffc9backed Brasil | 23c | 51.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…2506backed Cong | 77c | 50.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…059bbacked Brasil | 22c | 50.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Brasil | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Brasil | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42a…5651backed Brasil | 23c | 44.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Brasil | 28c | 44.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…6da7backed Cong | 76c | 43.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…0703backed Brasil | 23c | 43.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2a…1963backed Brasil | 24c | 42.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…8a5bbacked Cong | 76c | 41.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…b12fbacked Brasil | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…62b4backed Cong | 73c | 39.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Cong | 74c | 39.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…9117backed Cong | 77c | 39.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cong vs. Brasilthis page
- Du Plessis vs. StricklandDu Plessis won
- Jenkins vs. SantosSantos won
- Matthews vs. PradoMatthews won
- Nolan vs. BorshchevNolan won
- Tafa vs. TeixeiraTeixeira won
- Thicknesse vs. TopuriaTopuria won
- Weili vs. SuarezWeili won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.