TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a01…0d9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Golf at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT7548%36 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Luke Riley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+323.7%+$43.49
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$23.26
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Artur Minev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Dione Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dakota Hope · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chris Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Piera Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$48.36
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$85
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$36
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.55
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+203%+$50.76
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WIll Ansem Knock out Bitboy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+142.8%+$35.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.