College Football · resolved market
Nebraska vs. Iowa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ebc8454d30f4a01236efcf557180d5381845d36570a9d7429e10afd8c54178b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowaof Nebraska, Iowa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd398…c487backed Iowa | 60c | 28,939$17,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,575.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Nebraska | 44c | 27,481$11,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,969 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nebraska | 4c | 3,748$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nebraska | 49c | 2,997$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.93 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Nebraska | 43c | 2,545$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.14 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Nebraska | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Iowa | 58c | 1,172$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked Nebraska | 42c | 1,172$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Iowa | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nebraska | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Iowa | 58c | 879.07$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.22 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nebraska | 40c | 824.47$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.98 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Iowa | 61c | 820.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.07 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Iowa | 38c | 719.05$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.03 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Nebraska | 78c | 705.7$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Iowa | 56c | 608.44$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.33 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Iowa | 40c | 500$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Iowa | 28c | 497.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Nebraska | 65c | 488.63$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Nebraska | 44c | 450.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…4f74backed Iowa | 47c | 440.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Nebraska | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Nebraska | 46c | 425$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Iowa | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Iowa | 61c | 329.48$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa | 40c | 325.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Iowa | 60c | 251.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Iowa | 54c | 228.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Iowa | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Nebraska | 56c | 174.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…174ebacked Nebraska | 57c | 168.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Iowa | 47c | 162.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nebraska | 60c | 146.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Nebraska | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…2c1dbacked Iowa | 49c | 127.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Nebraska | 42c | 106.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Iowa | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Iowa | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Nebraska | 41c | 98.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Nebraska | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4b…fe27backed Nebraska | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…b43cbacked Nebraska | 53c | 69.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nebraska | 40c | 66.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…d576backed Nebraska | 44c | 63.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…10f8backed Iowa | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…da85backed Iowa | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…aea5backed Iowa | 56c | 55.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…ebafbacked Nebraska | 44c | 54.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Nebraska | 59c | 50.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Nebraska | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…dc26backed Iowa | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…a0a3backed Nebraska | 44c | 40.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac5…d509backed Nebraska | 56c | 39.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…7fdcbacked Nebraska | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…e2bfbacked Nebraska | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Iowa | 31c | 32.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…4d46backed Nebraska | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Iowa | 60c | 31.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Iowa | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Nebraska | 77c | 30.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Nebraska | 50c | 30.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Iowa | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Nebraska | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…861cbacked Iowa | 61c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…59c0backed Iowa | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.