TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f36…2305

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10369.9%72 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$51.3
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$39.84
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$13.03
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+79.1%+$53
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$60.07
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+208.1%+$50.67
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.7
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.76
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.78
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$26.09
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+37.8%+$41.39
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$50.47
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$14.62
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+42.1%+$16.3
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$15.44
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$17.36
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.36
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$15.82
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST9072.2%65 W · 25 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$310.6
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+147.2%+$36.79
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+57.7%+$228.42
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.3
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$301.79
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+48.9%+$251.47
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+32.6%+$120.14
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.05
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.72
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$437.98
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+53.1%+$52.67
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+151.1%+$205.74
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+33.2%+$72.58
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+25.2%+$47.77
Will the Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+34.3%+$12.12
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+52.7%+$104.22
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.43
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+26.9%+$28.45
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35.6
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+49.7%+$42.21
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$122.33
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+110.4%+$37.67
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+59.6%+$59.57
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.17
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.34
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$55.3
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$15
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+26%+$23.08
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$21.88
Illinois State vs. Presbyterian Collegebacked Illinois State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$36.26
Ole Miss vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.09
UConn vs. Floridabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.26
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
McNeese State vs. Purduebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$25.51
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.65
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked Marquette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+43.3%+$30.07
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$76.4
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40.41
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+45.3%+$38.63
Baylor vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+32.4%+$33.53
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+116%+$18.8
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$49.82
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+42.2%+$9.38
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+41.8%+$9.44
Navy vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$10.5
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$15.36
Notre Dame vs. USCbacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+32%+$5.04
South Carolina vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$14.4
Michigan vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$21.32
UTSA vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+45.6%+$4.7
Nebraska vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+91.1%+$14.78
Stanford vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+65.9%+$9.48
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$23.5
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$13.18
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.1
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$10.8
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$11.8
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$20.15
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$13.45
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+88.7%+$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL 4 Nations: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$17.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.