TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Navy vs. Army

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Navyof Navy, Army
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa19a…2f33backed Army71c72,527$51,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,370.282040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Navy44c37,855$16,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,025.885657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Navy31c30,894$9,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,370.043842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Navy29c18,966$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,465.5219051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Navy76c17,412$13,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a4…4d01backed Army55c16,267$8,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,887.831233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Navy33c12,252$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,182.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb173…ed42backed Army3c10,515$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Navy30c10,387$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,220.669750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Navy55c9,967$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,485.176547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Army14c9,899$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.884129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Army31c9,826$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,084.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Army43c8,120$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.217335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Army62c5,861$3,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,656.684553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Army0c5,339$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20e…5998backed Navy76c5,263$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2552050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Navy31c5,164$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.924868.8%33 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Navy58c4,851$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.451942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Army71c4,500$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1951656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Navy55c3,432$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.1130949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Navy50c3,111$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.7886243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Navy33c2,981$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.78448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Army71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1130…c545backed Army19c2,685$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.21825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Army51c2,355$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.995543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Navy30c2,281$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.14445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Navy55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Army68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.994839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Army31c1,986$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.9120341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Army57c1,745$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.941172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…2577backed Army70c1,460$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Navy55c1,428$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.688643%37 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…3368backed Army35c1,400$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f83…d3dabacked Army71c1,285$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Navy71c1,275$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.842955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Navy75c1,180$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.181163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…d305backed Navy30c1,161$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Army52c1,145$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.598347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Army36c1,137$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.493432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Army57c1,114$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.6115252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Navy43c1,010$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.291650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Army18c1,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.315930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Army69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6905154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Army71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Navy27c983.2$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Army71c930.4$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Army64c917.45$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.414242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Army4c820.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.042370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Navy52c786$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.093138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Navy53c749.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.14988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+63.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0212…5e5bbacked Navy41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96da…ff74backed Army70c630.02$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Navy30c630.02$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.012227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Army71c620.83$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.791485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Army50c605.78$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.726233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Army72c601.18$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.858078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Navy29c599.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.981921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Army52c578.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012042.5%51 W · 69 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Army53c558.59$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.723135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa22d…ea45backed Navy72c520.19$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd542…08abbacked Army71c500$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbc5…624ebacked Navy60c496.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Navy45c491.82$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.832429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Navy29c483.72$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.323461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Navy29c413.69$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.494055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbf…58a2backed Navy31c404.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd2…d60fbacked Army71c399.41$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…9ba9backed Army71c395.77$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d12…007fbacked Navy76c348.68$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7e…158dbacked Navy32c312.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79d4…9dafbacked Army69c302$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Army70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106354%34 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Army39c299.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.51625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38b…f89dbacked Navy30c298.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc3…1f67backed Navy62c298.41$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.811145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb3…f525backed Army70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Army71c283.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76eb…525abacked Navy79c256.73$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Navy29c254.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.057653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Navy58c251.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.91752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Navy40c243.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Army50c224.36$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630f…db81backed Navy68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f2…8f96backed Army70c218.21$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710d…eb90backed Navy31c218.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Army71c214.37$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.220757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa249…f2f3backed Army23c204.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Army71c204.23$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1455259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Army69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13818858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf6…63a7backed Navy30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Army72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…c716backed Army45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Army65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Navy62c197.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.926170.5%43 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Army71c191.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…09f1backed Navy31c190.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed Army52c186.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6a…27e9backed Army70c179.66$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7399…a2bcbacked Army71c177.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87bf…374ebacked Army29c173.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.