NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1581d4a84db93bd26fb9b91e1ee9678cc5e6ad68a17d64ce21bf50d3851fc481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,619,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,706,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,619,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Heat | 16c | 228,483$37,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,365.75 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Cavaliers | 79c | 188,248$148,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,532.08 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a63…e4b7backed Cavaliers | 78c | 143,000$111,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,459.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…4216backed Heat | 22c | 140,000$30,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 129,000$100,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,380 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Heat | 10c | 112,000$11,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,389.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Heat | 21c | 77,415$16,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,417.18 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 9c | 55,215$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.17 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Heat | 24c | 53,098$12,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,973.81 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 0c | 42,111$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 22c | 30,800$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,642 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 2c | 24,182$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.1 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 22,315$16,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.35 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Heat | 22c | 22,222$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.79 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 22,000$17,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 0c | 21,919$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Heat | 24c | 19,180$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.33 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 23c | 18,810$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.3 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 22c | 16,808$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.79 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Heat | 17c | 15,707$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.49 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Heat | 21c | 13,437$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Cavaliers | 78c | 12,713$9,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.93 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 22c | 12,245$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.03 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Heat | 2c | 11,869$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Heat | 1c | 11,236$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 21c | 11,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Heat | 23c | 10,870$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Heat | 8c | 10,473$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.57 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Heat | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Heat | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Heat | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…3e4dbacked Heat | 1c | 8,638$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Heat | 15c | 8,371$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.61 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 8,076$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Cavaliers | 78c | 6,708$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Heat | 22c | 5,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Heat | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 23c | 4,900$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…bac7backed Heat | 6c | 4,886$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…6633backed Heat | 21c | 4,876$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Heat | 23c | 4,463$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.15 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 4,353$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 4,100$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 4,010$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.16 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…770ebacked Heat | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Heat | 23c | 3,982$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.76 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…aa8cbacked Heat | 22c | 3,892$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cavaliers | 78c | 3,800$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 3,797$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.47 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Cavaliers | 76c | 3,773$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.18 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Heat | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Heat | 24c | 3,411$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Heat | 22c | 3,003$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…0682backed Heat | 1c | 3,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Cavaliers | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 10c | 2,990$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Heat | 2c | 2,760$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Heat | 24c | 2,423$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.54 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 2,269$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…9827backed Heat | 23c | 2,240$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…cab5backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,240$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…c3f9backed Heat | 13c | 2,191$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Heat | 19c | 2,183$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.76 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Heat | 7c | 1,973$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 21c | 1,904$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,862$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…499cbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,818$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Heat | 3c | 1,750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 22c | 1,731$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.92 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 1,667$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.46 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 77c | 1,643$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.89 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…07febacked Heat | 23c | 1,543$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Heat | 21c | 1,448$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.08 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,362$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.64 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe908…c1fdbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 1,341$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.36 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…ec95backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,323$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Cavaliers | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Heat | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…db18backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,298$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…3f44backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,298$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,297$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,297$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,287$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.14 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…b40dbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 23c | 1,266$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.22 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,247$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…0b10backed Heat | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…91d1backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,121$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,013$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 22c | 989.27$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.