TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$670,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$714,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb400…1ed9backed Warriors60c179,345$107,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,857.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…c7c8backed Clippers40c53,400$21,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,0401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc658…6c1bbacked Warriors60c53,400$32,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers37c35,511$13,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,345.871,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Clippers46c33,372$15,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,075.373426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Clippers51c29,820$15,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,606.89572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers41c24,013$9,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,122.083,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Clippers41c21,892$8,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,009.1112938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Warriors50c17,471$8,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,735.735950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors48c17,146$8,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,154.741,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Clippers39c17,058$6,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,335.7128347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Clippers45c15,498$6,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,590.3566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Clippers38c15,120$5,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,375.6420047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Warriors59c15,000$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,90029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers46c11,251$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,02766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Warriors43c10,918$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,660.6146426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Clippers46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Clippers41c9,793$4,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,731.1728341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Warriors76c9,543$7,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,252.453154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Clippers50c8,002$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,001.945940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0dacbacked Clippers41c7,996$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.717754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Clippers41c7,989$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,690.0212232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors59c7,865$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,671.3213560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Clippers39c7,516$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,571.8361345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Warriors58c7,340$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.7619451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Warriors55c6,999$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.621,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Clippers41c6,373$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,768.5229957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x459e…9931backed Warriors48c6,121$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Warriors61c4,919$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Clippers64c4,886$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.793234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Warriors50c4,822$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.4326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b4…f541backed Warriors57c4,781$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.552025%5 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Clippers30c4,751$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.923237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Clippers39c4,484$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.4370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Warriors46c4,340$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8845…ae48backed Clippers40c4,273$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.491513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Warriors59c4,229$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.3227840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Clippers62c4,214$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.952941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Clippers50c3,763$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.598434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Clippers42c3,127$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.9148046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Clippers42c3,020$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.7826640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Clippers24c2,921$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.8311229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Clippers39c2,850$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.5820050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Clippers42c2,839$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.2434852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Clippers48c2,757$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.3329635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Clippers41c2,740$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.6415551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Warriors19c2,676$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.2513248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors44c2,388$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.3110357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Clippers75c2,354$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.084484.1%37 W · 7 L+9.7wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Clippers48c2,287$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.296549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Warriors53c2,073$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.024841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Clippers44c2,073$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.9619448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Clippers29c2,056$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.5510541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Clippers41c2,049$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.8811654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Warriors60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20026049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Clippers25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9927731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Clippers39c1,991$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.7237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3095…b2a6backed Warriors61c1,978$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.554440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Clippers47c1,898$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.7819350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Clippers41c1,800$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.9745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors57c1,760$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors57c1,666$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.491,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors52c1,634$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.0251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Clippers62c1,615$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.5122457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Warriors59c1,514$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Warriors59c1,505$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.551833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors1c1,505$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.124423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Clippers41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8851656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Clippers41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers40c1,398$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.8796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Clippers42c1,393$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.8920756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fb…60d1backed Warriors60c1,335$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.672055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Clippers30c1,332$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.410244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Clippers38c1,329$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.171,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Warriors61c1,304$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.76960.9%42 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Warriors75c1,292$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.0117256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Clippers49c1,255$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.5736747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Clippers23c1,053$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.35032%16 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors39c1,034$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.511,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Clippers43c1,033$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.4245647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Clippers39c1,029$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.576747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Clippers54c1,020$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.3138027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Warriors47c1,005$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.5147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Warriors52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clippers47c1,000$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5311,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Clippers40c999$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.447542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Warriors61c975.67$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aad…4e00backed Clippers65c975.03$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.531947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Warriors64c884.34$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5679744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Clippers40c875.4$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.438143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe51…3982backed Warriors65c814.71$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.974517.8%8 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Clippers46c809.43$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43745348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…f420backed Clippers59c786.05$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.494643.5%20 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers43c777.02$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.062,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Warriors56c772.53$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4516140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Warriors52c766.19$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Warriors69c762.24$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.956056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Clippers40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45023554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.