NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35ee6735080b3a88d72b0cf89ce154330ff51b0865b16e603eab05636791a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Clippers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,117,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,131,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,117,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,009 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 46c | 92,676$42,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,739.58 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Clippers | 50c | 52,667$26,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,145.59 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 43c | 50,328$21,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,839.38 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Clippers | 45c | 48,801$21,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,843.71 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 39c | 42,500$16,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,131.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 42,284$23,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,604.89 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.99 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…71b2backed Nuggets | 57c | 33,890$19,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,572.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…64aabacked Clippers | 43c | 33,890$14,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,572.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…7678backed Nuggets | 56c | 32,650$18,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,366 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…c416backed Clippers | 44c | 32,650$14,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,366 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Clippers | 47c | 26,428$12,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,519.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…4d79backed Clippers | 44c | 25,920$11,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,404.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…da6dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 25,920$14,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,404.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 25,608$13,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,318.64 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Clippers | 44c | 25,552$11,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,242.91 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 67c | 21,029$14,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,962.25 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Clippers | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Clippers | 43c | 19,235$8,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,206.34 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Clippers | 46c | 19,012$8,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,712.25 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…4076backed Clippers | 61c | 16,609$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Nuggets | 57c | 12,991$7,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.21 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 12,982$6,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,268.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nuggets | 56c | 12,651$7,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,566.25 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Nuggets | 56c | 12,255$6,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.81 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Clippers | 58c | 12,150$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.93 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Clippers | 60c | 11,614$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,946.51 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Clippers | 44c | 11,376$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Clippers | 45c | 11,253$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 51c | 11,079$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.62 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Nuggets | 56c | 11,014$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.87 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Clippers | 25c | 10,997$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.08 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Nuggets | 43c | 9,237$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Nuggets | 54c | 8,453$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.51 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Clippers | 72c | 7,767$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Clippers | 49c | 7,353$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.69 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 7,105$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Nuggets | 28c | 6,629$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.82 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Clippers | 45c | 6,589$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Clippers | 55c | 6,520$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.63 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Clippers | 4c | 6,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Clippers | 58c | 5,913$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.22 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Clippers | 44c | 5,801$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.16 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Clippers | 44c | 5,341$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Nuggets | 57c | 5,222$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.34 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Clippers | 44c | 4,935$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.06 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Clippers | 57c | 4,776$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.21 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Nuggets | 57c | 4,705$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.96 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Nuggets | 59c | 4,510$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Nuggets | 36c | 4,499$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.48 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…2514backed Clippers | 49c | 4,471$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…157fbacked Nuggets | 57c | 4,350$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…dfa2backed Clippers | 43c | 4,350$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 55c | 4,230$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.61 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Clippers | 43c | 4,027$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.96 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 37c | 3,845$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.45 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,757$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 56c | 3,747$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.61 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,700$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.99 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nuggets | 37c | 3,519$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.04 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Nuggets | 57c | 3,510$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7be…570cbacked Nuggets | 59c | 3,452$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Clippers | 44c | 3,200$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Clippers | 53c | 3,074$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.62 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Nuggets | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Clippers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,865$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.5 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Clippers | 44c | 2,791$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Clippers | 62c | 2,698$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.54 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,473$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.68 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Nuggets | 28c | 2,470$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.46 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 34c | 2,438$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.33 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…350dbacked Clippers | 44c | 2,212$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Clippers | 44c | 2,183$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.39 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clippers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Clippers | 44c | 1,962$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.11 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,853$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.1 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Nuggets | 38c | 1,817$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.49 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Clippers | 57c | 1,760$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers | 43c | 1,615$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.08 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…b1e0backed Clippers | 44c | 1,585$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Clippers | 44c | 1,578$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Clippers | 56c | 1,529$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.31 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,512$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Clippers | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,493$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.92 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 1,476$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.68 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,437$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.06 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,385$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 44c | 1,350$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.61 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Clippers | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…0e52backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,188$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Clippers | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Nuggets | 57c | 1,137$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.