NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa981f9a20e0058e412c847c989c3f98ad79e77c7eb5e67f53ea77438212dde4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Hawks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $799,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $866,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $799,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Magic | 69c | 72,596$49,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,598.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hawks | 33c | 58,285$19,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,039 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Hawks | 34c | 51,982$17,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,673.91 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Hawks | 24c | 45,864$10,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,825.44 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Magic | 68c | 39,229$26,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,681.02 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Hawks | 18c | 26,133$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.87 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 67c | 24,117$16,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,958.56 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 33c | 20,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.88 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Hawks | 32c | 19,510$6,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Magic | 66c | 18,998$12,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…ae48backed Hawks | 34c | 16,160$5,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 66c | 14,598$9,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.48 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hawks | 34c | 12,761$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.85 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Hawks | 16c | 10,602$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.08 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Hawks | 18c | 10,451$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.87 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 65c | 10,177$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.69 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Magic | 68c | 9,716$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.04 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 67c | 9,368$6,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.51 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 75c | 6,850$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.94 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Magic | 66c | 6,500$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Hawks | 8c | 6,390$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.8 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Hawks | 33c | 6,160$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.77 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Hawks | 11c | 5,776$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.59 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Hawks | 6c | 5,351$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Hawks | 34c | 5,201$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.33 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Hawks | 33c | 4,494$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.98 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 66c | 4,223$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.82 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Hawks | 18c | 3,710$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.6 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hawks | 32c | 3,670$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.36 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Hawks | 7c | 3,568$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.05 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 66c | 3,481$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.55 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Hawks | 14c | 3,383$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.8 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Hawks | 33c | 3,260$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.22 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hawks | 30c | 3,259$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.64 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks | 15c | 3,174$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.07 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Hawks | 6c | 3,131$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 64c | 3,069$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.56 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Hawks | 39c | 3,040$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.92 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Hawks | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.55 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Hawks | 34c | 3,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Hawks | 10c | 2,956$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks | 20c | 2,944$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.84 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks | 34c | 2,906$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.7 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Hawks | 35c | 2,900$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.96 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 22c | 2,756$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hawks | 32c | 2,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Hawks | 9c | 2,428$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…ac88backed Hawks | 5c | 2,177$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Hawks | 16c | 2,037$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Magic | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Magic | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Hawks | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Hawks | 35c | 1,990$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 36c | 1,975$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.64 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…5cb6backed Hawks | 36c | 1,950$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Magic | 67c | 1,936$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.88 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Hawks | 30c | 1,878$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.5 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Hawks | 9c | 1,798$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…76e3backed Hawks | 6c | 1,650$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Hawks | 33c | 1,643$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.19 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Hawks | 36c | 1,639$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Magic | 65c | 1,624$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.46 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hawks | 3c | 1,550$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Magic | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Hawks | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Hawks | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Hawks | 4c | 1,475$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Magic | 69c | 1,457$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.52 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Hawks | 35c | 1,439$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 2c | 1,434$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 66c | 1,382$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.71 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Hawks | 15c | 1,347$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Hawks | 35c | 1,310$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Hawks | 34c | 1,310$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.07 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Hawks | 10c | 1,108$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks | 34c | 1,100$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.13 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hawks | 1c | 1,090$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 67c | 1,085$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.04 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…56ccbacked Magic | 65c | 1,045$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 67c | 1,029$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.57 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Hawks | 34c | 1,019$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.49 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Magic | 65c | 1,003$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Magic | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hawks | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Magic | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Hawks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…0b39backed Hawks | 13c | 952.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 29c | 948.9$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 67c | 909$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…2922backed Magic | 77c | 895$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Magic | 66c | 888.67$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.1 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Hawks | 23c | 872.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Hawks | 6c | 870$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.