NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5d210b512754247fdf227aeced45134857351b019cc9d5845cd0b7ddc99fa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $742,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $810,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $742,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x038d…d484backed Heat | 46c | 70,325$32,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,957.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…3c39backed Bulls | 54c | 52,509$28,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,354.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bulls | 54c | 51,984$27,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,855.8 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 47c | 38,184$17,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,361.75 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Heat | 46c | 37,584$17,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,297.28 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Heat | 47c | 31,938$15,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,793.53 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 35c | 30,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.83 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Bulls | 55c | 28,433$15,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,560.68 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 50c | 25,701$12,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,860.61 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bulls | 36c | 23,787$8,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,651.56 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Bulls | 15c | 22,696$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.78 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Heat | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Bulls | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bulls | 51c | 14,999$7,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.48 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bulls | 1c | 13,997$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Heat | 49c | 13,950$6,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,140.36 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bulls | 15c | 12,525$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.06 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Heat | 72c | 8,958$6,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.9 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bulls | 53c | 8,374$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.37 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Bulls | 5c | 7,813$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.55 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 19c | 7,558$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.62 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Bulls | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 53c | 6,556$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.75 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls | 52c | 5,911$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.75 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 48c | 5,148$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.85 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Bulls | 2c | 5,130$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Heat | 46c | 5,118$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.45 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 23c | 4,875$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Heat | 72c | 4,680$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Bulls | 48c | 4,653$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.59 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Bulls | 37c | 4,459$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.47 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Heat | 69c | 4,386$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.35 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Bulls | 23c | 4,180$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.27 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bulls | 53c | 4,031$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.59 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Bulls | 3c | 4,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Bulls | 48c | 3,873$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.02 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Bulls | 52c | 3,854$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bulls | 43c | 3,466$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.29 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls | 20c | 3,327$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.13 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls | 3c | 3,116$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls | 53c | 2,993$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.21 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 48c | 2,969$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.58 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Bulls | 19c | 2,853$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.53 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls | 31c | 2,837$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.86 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bulls | 26c | 2,604$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.84 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 35c | 2,587$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.54 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls | 4c | 2,515$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls | 10c | 2,500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.21 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 56c | 2,477$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.44 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Heat | 47c | 2,387$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 24c | 2,300$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Bulls | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,098$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.19 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Bulls | 30c | 2,069$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.25 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Bulls | 54c | 2,023$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Heat | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 53c | 1,996$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Bulls | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bulls | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Bulls | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 49c | 1,857$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.19 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bulls | 37c | 1,806$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.13 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bulls | 53c | 1,802$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.96 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Heat | 79c | 1,772$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 72c | 1,650$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bulls | 53c | 1,516$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.43 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Bulls | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 1c | 1,450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 38c | 1,443$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Bulls | 25c | 1,300$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.33 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Bulls | 20c | 1,260$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…3667backed Heat | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Bulls | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 56c | 1,071$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Heat | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.02 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Heat | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.11 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bulls | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bulls | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Heat | 48c | 998.9$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.43 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls | 53c | 928.99$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.37 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bulls | 43c | 927.83$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.42 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Bulls | 6c | 887.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Bulls | 52c | 822$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Heat | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Bulls | 54c | 781.67$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 48c | 781.15$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.7 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Bulls | 10c | 777.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Bulls | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Bulls | 8c | 727.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Bulls | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Bulls | 53c | 670$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bulls | 39c | 649.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Bulls | 42c | 647$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.27 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Heat | 48c | 646.88$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.15 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 7c | 638.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 79c | 637.01$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.