Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b746f8f53f613d4729d7bf0147c6bfbbe32f4d0169f79548e503c22c0b08f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58d2…0357backed Yes | 50c | 10,109$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed No | 50c | 9,910$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…9ac0backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…7934backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…d698backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…4719backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7246…a3dbbacked Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…aabfbacked Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 66c | 4,554$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.29 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 43c | 4,329$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.95 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed No | 41c | 3,928$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.46 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 18c | 3,680$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.22 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 54c | 3,655$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.21 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed No | 34c | 3,333$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 37c | 2,958$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.02 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 57c | 2,882$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.36 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa880…d095backed Yes | 66c | 2,854$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06bc…265ebacked No | 25c | 2,691$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 38c | 2,454$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.3 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…a9a2backed No | 45c | 2,355$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 34c | 2,135$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.81 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…7948backed Yes | 66c | 2,006$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 30c | 2,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.98 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…3c44backed No | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…15b6backed No | 49c | 1,930$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…00d8backed No | 50c | 1,915$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 41c | 1,897$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.43 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…8c37backed Yes | 52c | 1,880$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b80…ad84backed Yes | 51c | 1,813$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…f49ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,791$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Yes | 65c | 1,716$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Yes | 59c | 1,700$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…90c0backed No | 37c | 1,655$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…466dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,633$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 32c | 1,388$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.64 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…d382backed Yes | 73c | 1,373$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 60c | 1,371$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.57 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…e832backed Yes | 69c | 1,241$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…7bb3backed No | 32c | 1,235$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 34c | 1,186$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…2620backed No | 28c | 1,138$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 55c | 1,079$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.9 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,067$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 8c | 1,057$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Yes | 56c | 1,033$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed No | 43c | 1,031$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed No | 45c | 1,020$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 3c | 917.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 34c | 837.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 38c | 819.93$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 10c | 800$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 77c | 796.73$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 62c | 777$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.24 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Yes | 66c | 761.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…dd75backed Yes | 55c | 727.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 62c | 727.27$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.87 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…2eb5backed Yes | 55c | 700.09$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 39c | 694.7$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8754…7641backed No | 11c | 655.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8080…5127backed No | 43c | 639.62$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a08…5014backed Yes | 65c | 620.83$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed No | 38c | 620.67$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…9239backed Yes | 66c | 606.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…24febacked Yes | 43c | 603.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked No | 32c | 583.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…1a98backed Yes | 55c | 555.86$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 20c | 531.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…d32abacked No | 40c | 517.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 36c | 499.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…756abacked No | 46c | 493.33$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 60c | 490.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 43c | 469.91$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3150…538cbacked Yes | 80c | 456.67$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 39c | 447.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.81 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed No | 8c | 446.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…45f2backed Yes | 56c | 435$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed Yes | 64c | 433.38$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…4138backed No | 47c | 428.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Yes | 64c | 427.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…6b3abacked Yes | 57c | 422.95$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…0fb5backed No | 48c | 420.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 30c | 405.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed No | 31c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed71…da06backed Yes | 52c | 381.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 65c | 380$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…01d0backed Yes | 53c | 374.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 56c | 356.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 69c | 346.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…62dcbacked Yes | 67c | 342.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed No | 32c | 340.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…672ebacked Yes | 59c | 339.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…53bdbacked Yes | 63c | 337.36$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? No won
- Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.