Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeab6e3d86de2ceac389781fd790f9ae43d29d9833963cc17e06abd7fa0d3261f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $866,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $937,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $866,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x778a…b405backed Yes | 14c | 70,142$10,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,116.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 13c | 38,153$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.92 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…5214backed Yes | 15c | 36,132$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…6870backed Yes | 15c | 32,425$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 12c | 18,789$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.77 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…d834backed Yes | 20c | 15,132$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…8827backed Yes | 12c | 12,286$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…cd38backed Yes | 10c | 10,021$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 9c | 9,135$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.46 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…426bbacked Yes | 10c | 9,045$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Yes | 12c | 8,602$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…9c40backed Yes | 14c | 8,285$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…b262backed Yes | 8c | 6,574$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…5176backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 6,008$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.03 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 4c | 5,944$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.43 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 10c | 5,684$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.14 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 13c | 5,200$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…aabfbacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 7c | 4,903$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.27 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…9663backed Yes | 11c | 4,715$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…a195backed Yes | 13c | 4,615$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 7c | 4,368$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.93 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 6c | 4,316$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 7c | 4,130$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.1 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…3eb7backed Yes | 14c | 3,996$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…5cc6backed Yes | 17c | 3,745$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…5f08backed Yes | 17c | 3,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Yes | 10c | 3,392$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7d52backed Yes | 12c | 3,332$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…90c9backed Yes | 21c | 3,305$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 12c | 3,300$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…d5b1backed Yes | 13c | 3,298$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4c58backed Yes | 16c | 3,177$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 10c | 2,761$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,551$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…23b3backed Yes | 8c | 2,482$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…4be3backed Yes | 8c | 2,455$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5c…ff52backed Yes | 11c | 2,395$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 16c | 2,170$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…4cecbacked Yes | 12c | 2,150$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5c…3cbabacked Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…9754backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822a…d870backed Yes | 9c | 1,969$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…a48cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,891$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 5c | 1,795$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…8556backed Yes | 12c | 1,608$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 21c | 1,550$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.61 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…068cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,549$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 45c | 1,532$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.68 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…e848backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…b905backed Yes | 17c | 1,480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f66…4f72backed Yes | 10c | 1,447$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x673a…b460backed Yes | 16c | 1,300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…85a9backed Yes | 13c | 1,228$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…6b06backed Yes | 13c | 1,176$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…dad6backed Yes | 9c | 1,139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…4665backed Yes | 16c | 1,111$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…d4fdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923d…6d01backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…23bfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…850abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed Yes | 10c | 968.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0c…f772backed Yes | 10c | 967.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 10c | 949.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 7c | 919.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…6ce0backed Yes | 11c | 907.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 11c | 884.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b2…e941backed Yes | 15c | 873.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…7ce1backed Yes | 10c | 850$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…7200backed Yes | 16c | 845.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…deb3backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…4d05backed Yes | 12c | 810.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…ae59backed Yes | 13c | 803$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…e7d5backed Yes | 13c | 790.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 15c | 782.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…fcf4backed Yes | 12c | 769.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…440abacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…b0e5backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 10c | 768.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aef…d34dbacked Yes | 13c | 767.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f4…3af8backed Yes | 11c | 765.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…a717backed Yes | 10c | 755.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…3da7backed Yes | 7c | 714$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…66fbbacked Yes | 13c | 710.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…7213backed Yes | 14c | 705.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? No won
- Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.