Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d6906fd8564bb5ae879247071678f40cd70f3309748f425d4fbbafcbc9d24a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 20c | 28,198$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,697.87 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f9…38d5backed No | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 17c | 11,117$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,277.63 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 15c | 6,230$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.16 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,559$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.78 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 77c | 5,494$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.52 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743b…3b7cbacked Yes | 20c | 5,091$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +409.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…02efbacked No | 75c | 4,129$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…d307backed Yes | 15c | 4,072$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 73c | 3,989$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.46 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 27c | 3,877$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.77 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…7948backed Yes | 26c | 3,604$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 29c | 3,234$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.55 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 20c | 3,095$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.89 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 16c | 2,728$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,331$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.76 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Yes | 18c | 2,101$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb9…1a07backed Yes | 15c | 2,099$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 19c | 1,819$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.57 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…f717backed Yes | 19c | 1,587$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Yes | 15c | 1,565$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…62dcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,409$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 15c | 1,363$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.72 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…abc3backed No | 80c | 1,320$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…51bdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,245$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…09febacked Yes | 20c | 1,194$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…159bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,169$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…09f0backed Yes | 23c | 1,089$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 78c | 1,085$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.85 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ace…1a6cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,078$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 16c | 1,069$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.95 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,049$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.1 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…4728backed Yes | 15c | 1,016$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 17c | 1,010$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.19 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…0ff9backed Yes | 15c | 1,009$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,001$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…a51cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +111%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 79c | 999.98$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…8e9fbacked Yes | 24c | 967.92$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +515.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 79c | 925.99$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 14c | 888.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.45 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 77c | 876.33$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.71 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 79c | 800$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…84d7backed Yes | 16c | 783.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 79c | 782.45$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.31 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…d2cebacked Yes | 14c | 743.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…a48cbacked Yes | 16c | 717.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.31 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 17c | 710.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.36 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f83backed No | 71c | 696.26$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 78c | 670.42$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.93 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…fc5ebacked Yes | 18c | 659.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…23b3backed Yes | 16c | 612.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…63e6backed Yes | 17c | 591.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 19c | 574.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.59 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…360fbacked Yes | 14c | 570$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 557.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.12 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…cbf7backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 17cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf654…9574backed Yes | 19c | 550.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94d…365ebacked Yes | 18c | 549.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…498dbacked No | 77c | 536$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…1493backed Yes | 19c | 535.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf4…dca9backed Yes | 19c | 534.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…d59abacked Yes | 19c | 528$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…bc74backed Yes | 21c | 523.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…b905backed Yes | 19c | 521.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…a699backed Yes | 19c | 515$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…9d99backed Yes | 16c | 505.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e22…d7e3backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…9294backed Yes | 20c | 494.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 80c | 493.01$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.13 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 19c | 454.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.67 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…5bb6backed Yes | 22c | 444.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 24c | 424.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…a9aebacked Yes | 18c | 421.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 80c | 405.62$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…8e7fbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…78e5backed No | 79c | 377.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked Yes | 17c | 375.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 17c | 362.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.37 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 19c | 352$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…3f6ebacked Yes | 17c | 351.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecb…6005backed Yes | 23c | 342.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 72c | 339.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7c61backed Yes | 15c | 339.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc9…0101backed Yes | 15c | 330.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…ae50backed Yes | 17c | 305.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +500.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ae…ccf7backed No | 69c | 300.32$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Yes | 34c | 297.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 9c | 295.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…b9b1backed Yes | 17c | 294.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…73febacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 15c | 291.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 17c | 286.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.46 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 22c | 285$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 25c | 281.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…13d0backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 60c | 275$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed No | 75c | 275$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? No won
- Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.