Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11cd234118fb78411e204eef3c19dd05741ee45c4f65dff74daff86d0a85a827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed Yes | 19c | 2,050$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 73c | 999.97$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 16c | 944.68$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 69c | 889.18$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.41 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 73c | 823.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.35 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 74c | 815.65$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…58b4backed No | 73c | 540.42$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…7bb3backed Yes | 27c | 515.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 24c | 424.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed No | 74c | 423.08$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4c74backed No | 75c | 398.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…ae37backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 355.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 76c | 334.45$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 70c | 332.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes | 25c | 322.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…15b3backed Yes | 30c | 318.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…184bbacked Yes | 36c | 307.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…90ccbacked Yes | 34c | 291.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 75c | 270.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 72c | 255.7$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 26c | 249.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 65c | 226.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…7d8bbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 24c | 179.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 27c | 176.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 29c | 174.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 38c | 131.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 78c | 128.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…bac4backed Yes | 20c | 125.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 79c | 112.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 28c | 109.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 103.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…5772backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…4568backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…5cf4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked No | 77c | 90.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…5ffdbacked Yes | 24c | 88.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7073…420cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3f…0468backed Yes | 23c | 85.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed No | 78c | 79.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…6239backed Yes | 28c | 75.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 31c | 70.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432a…fb18backed Yes | 29c | 69.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 76c | 63.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 21c | 62.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1898…100bbacked Yes | 27c | 55.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…e93bbacked Yes | 28c | 51.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74eb…03ddbacked No | 79c | 50.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…c9dabacked No | 77c | 47.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…5cfcbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…b323backed Yes | 29c | 40.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…4198backed Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa749…056bbacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…e7d5backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…bd1ebacked Yes | 36c | 30.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…8e80backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaf…2e38backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…f8bdbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? No won
- Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes won
- Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?No won
- Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.