TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c72…1e3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST3946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+318.8%+$176.46
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Will the Los Angeles Rams finish with the best record in the NFL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.61
Will the Philadelphia Eagles finish with the best record in the NFL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$38.87
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$25.66
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
Jalen Hurts O/U 212.5 passing yards? backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will the Vikings trade JJ McCarthy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$21
Will the Saints draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted by the Raiders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+331.8%+$42.26
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$17.05
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Cam Ward?backed Ward · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+152.9%+$60.44
Will there be a streaker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.35
Will JuJu Smith-Schuster record 2 or more receptions in Super Bowl LIX?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Will Dallas Goedert record 5 or more receptions in Super Bowl LIX?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will the Eagles commit a roughing the passer penalty in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Which team will commit more penalties in Super Bowl LIX?backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20.16
Which team will be penalized for more yards?backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$334.55
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-55.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.94
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.1
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.66
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.02
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.25
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.9
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$126.62
Germany confidence vote in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+54.5%+$48.66
Will SPD win the most votes in the 2024 Brandenburg election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$35
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.31
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.64
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.9
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Trump transgender sports ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Donald Trump issue 37-39 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+167.4%+$18.78
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.75
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+185.7%+$32.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+648.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+488.2%+$166
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+809.1%+$89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+190.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+481.4%+$98.52
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $48m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+110%+$30.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$49.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.