NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05da88af64b05105ddd21456b20f61e9d8fa4c505fdceefcad106ead6b6542c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b86…0311backed Yes | 11c | 20,035$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890f…19cbbacked Yes | 10c | 3,389$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,994$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…25d5backed Yes | 16c | 1,295$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 11c | 1,013$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…622fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…9d86backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Yes | 9c | 900$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 12c | 861.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8429backed Yes | 17c | 832.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 9c | 774.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 15c | 651.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 6c | 583.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…c98abacked Yes | 12c | 412.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…1816backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…3e1bbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…04d8backed Yes | 12c | 329.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -86%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…8618backed Yes | 15c | 329.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…9bebbacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…0e40backed Yes | 14c | 303.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…314bbacked Yes | 11c | 280$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…ed51backed Yes | 9c | 276.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 12c | 269.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 11c | 263.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2f…fa91backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…aa6cbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed Yes | 18c | 227.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…dd5cbacked Yes | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 14c | 200.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc9…c670backed Yes | 12c | 200.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…3fd0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…2e47backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…69a8backed Yes | 11c | 177.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…79dabacked Yes | 12c | 170.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…6b7ebacked Yes | 12c | 167.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…e087backed Yes | 9c | 156.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…5faabacked Yes | 15c | 152.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…4e05backed Yes | 12c | 139.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…d7f9backed Yes | 10c | 134.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a34…00f2backed Yes | 15c | 133.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…0822backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…1ddabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…b003backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…98c3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5d…5598backed Yes | 46c | 87.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…937cbacked Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 15c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…55ecbacked Yes | 20c | 69.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 15c | 65.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4768…bc37backed Yes | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…6a0fbacked Yes | 46c | 44.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.