NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf812acbdcf04731705545ee9143a3761d81b72899f7ca0bd54fddc56f1f848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 7c | 8,264$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.18 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,021$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5195…9e10backed Yes | 7c | 1,452$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,038$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…ae66backed Yes | 5c | 1,018$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 3c | 968.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…5faabacked Yes | 9c | 875.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…f89ebacked Yes | 6c | 830.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd695…850ebacked Yes | 6c | 791.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd467…2085backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 4c | 520$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 6c | 478.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…8e6fbacked Yes | 8c | 306.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 276.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71b…8fb7backed Yes | 39c | 253.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…d559backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 6c | 166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 9c | 145$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…a7b1backed Yes | 8c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…554dbacked Yes | 9c | 119.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…2594backed Yes | 32c | 73.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 32c | 40.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.