NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be blue?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x141d3666040200e4ca7303161c0a75fa7f00e73d8df1fee43c9fe981c2379cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 7c | 5,467$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 3,924$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.61 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…622fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,465$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…2b52backed Yes | 5c | 2,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…343ebacked Yes | 11c | 913.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…ddaebacked Yes | 10c | 811.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 7c | 794.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…25d5backed Yes | 15c | 681.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…9d66backed Yes | 7c | 623.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 4c | 618.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…6608backed Yes | 7c | 579.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 6c | 500.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Yes | 10c | 498.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 5c | 416.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…7927backed Yes | 9c | 320.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…8904backed Yes | 5c | 312.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…2bd1backed Yes | 7c | 296.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…c344backed Yes | 7c | 289.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…e421backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a1…fd37backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…cda0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5d…5598backed Yes | 36c | 195.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 79c | 136.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da9…2db2backed Yes | 37c | 119.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…0944backed Yes | 31c | 64.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…5e5bbacked Yes | 35c | 56.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be blue?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.