NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8baee27a8b25a562072a2ffa7fcfe0aa74e48010175c42fdbdfc8a288df4d40b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 29,247$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed No | 51c | 10,300$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 60c | 10,073$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.35 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Yes | 58c | 7,142$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Yes | 50c | 6,573$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 49c | 5,198$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.01 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc261…33a1backed Yes | 61c | 3,288$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 52c | 2,657$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 39c | 2,308$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 50c | 2,206$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.46 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…68b3backed Yes | 61c | 2,142$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,033$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.05 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 15c | 1,531$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 47c | 1,500$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.25 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…25d5backed Yes | 28c | 1,385$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…cadcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,304$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…b568backed Yes | 53c | 934.88$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…8dd3backed Yes | 32c | 921.91$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 39c | 908$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.88 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 35c | 838.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…489fbacked Yes | 60c | 816.37$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 815.21$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.67 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…8964backed No | 40c | 710.78$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Yes | 43c | 692.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Yes | 53c | 676.44$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.35 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 55c | 645.04$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.89 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 61c | 628$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Yes | 72c | 618$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 30c | 500$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed No | 41c | 491.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 57c | 464.01$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…acefbacked Yes | 58c | 436.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…5f46backed No | 69c | 407.86$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 44c | 404.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 55c | 341.87$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 28c | 303.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Yes | 60c | 302.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 47c | 288$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…fd02backed Yes | 55c | 272.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…ed51backed No | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked No | 39c | 254.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…2e47backed Yes | 56c | 249.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…620fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 72c | 214.29$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes | 47c | 212.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 48c | 210.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 44cpaid | -90%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…dd5cbacked Yes | 27c | 210$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 42c | 209.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…bae9backed No | 44c | 204$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 48c | 200.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 198.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9c8bbacked Yes | 42c | 185.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Yes | 62c | 178.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…843fbacked Yes | 60c | 170.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…5916backed Yes | 62c | 165.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…c313backed Yes | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce81…f0b0backed Yes | 43c | 163.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…ae66backed Yes | 43c | 142.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes | 77c | 140.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Yes | 72c | 138.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5d…5598backed Yes | 80c | 125.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed No | 44c | 124.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 42c | 124.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 31c | 124.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed No | 55c | 121.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 43c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2dc0backed No | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked Yes | 53c | 114$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…d030backed No | 70c | 108.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…7927backed No | 47c | 105.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…9aeebacked Yes | 43c | 104.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed No | 59c | 102.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 50c | 100.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Yes | 50c | 100.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…211fbacked Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…ba94backed Yes | 56c | 98.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…92b4backed Yes | 70c | 94.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…54d4backed No | 52c | 89.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 31c | 82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x086b…880dbacked Yes | 62c | 81.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…423fbacked Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc72…5ccbbacked No | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…10bfbacked Yes | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…9d66backed Yes | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…ad84backed Yes | 70c | 74.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed No | 43c | 71.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a34…00f2backed No | 31c | 64.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked No | 34c | 63.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 47c | 62.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…ba4bbacked Yes | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…98adbacked No | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes | 76c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…2ba8backed Yes | 44c | 56.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.