NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c8ef0753ce0c65c4f3cfcb862e69b76fd5f1bc0c508e8284dda27911281018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3df0…48f0backed Yes | 24c | 11,055$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 25c | 11,016$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.48 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…2e85backed Yes | 29c | 2,804$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 20c | 2,525$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.1 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Yes | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…acefbacked Yes | 32c | 2,089$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…ec61backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 26c | 1,678$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.34 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.24 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992a…a5d2backed Yes | 39c | 1,239$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,057$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.89 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…901fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,053$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…9c05backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +104%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 717.59$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…dd76backed Yes | 28c | 708.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 699.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…460cbacked Yes | 26c | 612.86$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…25d5backed Yes | 34c | 608.19$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 571.04$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…a621backed Yes | 35c | 560.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…bae9backed Yes | 13c | 560.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Yes | 38c | 551.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 20c | 539.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…eae3backed Yes | 30c | 506.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…2b52backed Yes | 23c | 439.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 26c | 400.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 70c | 372.97$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Yes | 25c | 372.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5d…5598backed Yes | 55c | 363.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…622fbacked Yes | 27c | 361.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…4f0abacked No | 73c | 360.11$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…e62bbacked Yes | 28c | 352.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…6feebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Yes | 23c | 340$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…47b0backed No | 65c | 322.49$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…5faabacked Yes | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 73c | 286.67$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 67c | 276.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…64f5backed Yes | 34c | 269.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…c459backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…c5e3backed Yes | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…dd5cbacked Yes | 34c | 225$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd695…850ebacked Yes | 23c | 216.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 216.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 75c | 215.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…3fd0backed Yes | 24c | 210.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 66c | 208$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Yes | 10c | 204.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Yes | 25c | 201.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked No | 75c | 201.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…8c9abacked Yes | 23c | 197.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…83debacked Yes | 26c | 190.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…432fbacked Yes | 28c | 185.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…343ebacked Yes | 27c | 185.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…53babacked Yes | 25c | 185.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…4946backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Yes | 30c | 178.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 173$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…34ecbacked Yes | 31c | 162.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…37e6backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…69a8backed Yes | 25c | 149.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 34c | 132$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Yes | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…27eebacked Yes | 37c | 118.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 78c | 112.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…5638backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…b079backed Yes | 29c | 109.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da9…2db2backed Yes | 19c | 107.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb7…6906backed Yes | 23c | 106.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…592ebacked No | 68c | 106.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…a72ebacked Yes | 28c | 105.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 29c | 103.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 44cpaid | -90%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…2787backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 64c | 96.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 23c | 94.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 71c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc72…ffafbacked No | 68c | 83.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8e…62bebacked No | 68c | 81.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3e…f6f4backed Yes | 28c | 81.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 66c | 80.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…fc73backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 31c | 78.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…c287backed Yes | 25c | 76.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.