Will Jamal Musiala be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca7621cf75bd49bc43b934b03ddface31e6d1be49af51c78e6d2428a8025508

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,730$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.17	187	7%13 W · 174 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3693…d79ebacked Yes	38c	4,463$1,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,682.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No	64c	2,528$1,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.56	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	54c	1,300$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	+11.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No	79c	819$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.71	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	23c	593.02$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.6	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes	27c	412$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.36	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	71c	374.11$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.42	380	48.7%185 W · 195 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Yes	17c	296.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed No	79c	207.23$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.26	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes	5c	204.92$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…96cfbacked Yes	28c	159.44$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1479…487cbacked Yes	22c	150.08$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.59	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	21cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes	20c	101.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2021…2555backed No	79c	100.4$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.28	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7c…2bc1backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d3…60eebacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678b…101ebacked Yes	18c	83.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked No	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.92	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	71c	71.38$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99a6…aac8backed No	80c	62.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa823…851fbacked Yes	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3598…ad60backed Yes	37c	53.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No	77c	47.14$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab24…8c8ebacked No	69c	21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95b…1692backed No	80c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.67	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jamal Musiala be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event