Will Gonzalo García be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd623bf4361a048b6aa2e8527c7edf605e6b6dba8bc4c1e40aa802c98624ad07c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 13, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	72c	2,476$1,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.24	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4978…3378backed No	27c	1,500$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed No	43c	501.09$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.26	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca7…d86fbacked Yes	79c	399.99$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Yes	55c	361$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.45	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes	79c	248$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.56	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes	68c	223.28$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.38	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked No	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No	34c	140$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.6	135	38.5%52 W · 83 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No	25c	136$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No	24c	123.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.75	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	22c	121$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.58	187	7%13 W · 174 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac3…50c5backed No	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc230…6192backed No	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	20c	92.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes	75c	92.64$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.16	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed No	26c	80$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f0…b6b1backed No	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa133…8de2backed Yes	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3502…ae31backed Yes	79c	63.3$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2021…2555backed No	34c	61$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3337…1bb9backed Yes	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+5.0wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked Yes	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9640…eb27backed No	23c	48.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ec…b5fcbacked No	22c	47.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9629…1f69backed No	25c	40.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked No	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-4.2wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-34%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed No	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	50c	35.53$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.77	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e2d…d689backed Yes	78c	25.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc733…f399backed Yes	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80c5…168abacked Yes	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb96…cd51backed Yes	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gonzalo García be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event