Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1dab2c77840ee9035318d8daee568917d02df6cf0f32dfa8764fb3709838363

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 13, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,141 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 4 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x41b4…de82backed Yes	8c	1,342$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.33	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a6…f547backed Yes	8c	278.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca7…d86fbacked Yes	8c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event