Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7ac869c72d9eae9941242ad0e03d92193144e2f6a3cfd6c14454ac288a52f4

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,582 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3693…d79ebacked Yes	18c	3,039$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.56	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+81%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,061$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	187	7%13 W · 174 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes	11c	290$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes	14c	249.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+126.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	78c	196.78$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.77	74	35.1%26 W · 48 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes	14c	172.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2bc…a7ecbacked Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa823…851fbacked Yes	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	11c	127.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82c1…0217backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc4…368bbacked Yes	17c	105.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	257	35%90 W · 167 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	123	33.3%41 W · 82 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x048d…a493backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0d6…9ed6backed Yes	14c	93$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes	15c	84.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7975…d3f7backed Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	15c	69.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb825…7aa8backed Yes	16c	65$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…ca89backed Yes	24c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x632d…69e3backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event