TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab24…8c8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.5%+$183.56
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$56.57
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$16.97
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$18.44
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$291.55
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$414.28
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$215.45
US military action on Yemen before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$46.37
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$27.51
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$4.88
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+26%+$14.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 88°F or higher on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.44
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$24.12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$20.43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$15.54
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$4.77
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$8.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$17.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick76cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+53%+$14.55
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$132.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.6%+$44.45
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$42.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+47%+$361.69
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$37.53
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68%+$10.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.7%+$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jamal Musiala be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+46%+$6.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win 2-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$4.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.