TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes28c40,648$11,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,571.481414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No74c34,042$25,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,979.4316242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes32c24,657$7,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,864.62714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes32c12,047$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,819.693458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes21c5,498$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.5360%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes21c4,071$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.880%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes32c4,054$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.3217244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49db…3d28backed Yes34c4,000$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x288e…9ca7backed Yes31c3,855$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.742454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c3,375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed Yes29c3,261$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.766633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes31c3,261$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.522030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No73c2,990$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.172152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes29c2,961$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.511230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd313…a320backed No80c2,502$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes24c1,984$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4329553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes25c1,950$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.143315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked No71c1,802$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.251844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939f…2865backed Yes31c1,741$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No68c1,615$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No68c1,570$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No75c1,474$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.443647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes30c1,400$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.64429.5%13 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00c0…c91ebacked No71c1,190$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No76c1,164$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.072650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes29c1,048$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.788231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe937…f91bbacked Yes24c1,025$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No65c988.99$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.151533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes29c975.45$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No78c963.64$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2122360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a49…7447backed Yes31c911.37$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9833…7844backed Yes20c905.46$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.362917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes29c833.55$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7333650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No79c815.95$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9525244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed No80c806.66$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.862437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c789.69$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.694459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes27c732.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d2…afe9backed Yes72c652.9$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No78c640.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.972263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…e524backed Yes24c612.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf526…35b1backed No70c585.88$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes29c583.18$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.941,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb54c…61b0backed Yes29c546.02$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc68…8662backed Yes19c529.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60d…57bfbacked Yes25c510$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.42516%4 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes28c428.28$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a4…01f0backed Yes33c425.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed No68c422.63$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9310839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No75c364.12$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7422723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes15c360.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes33c360$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.792835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No78c359.52$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.731478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No66c347.55$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.515860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No70c339.97$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6817338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf1c…8dafbacked Yes30c319.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No66c318.05$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.574252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes28c317.39$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes26c306.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…c000backed Yes33c300.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No74c271.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3948043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes19c268$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7352750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5766…962abacked Yes30c264.72$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9879…eae8backed Yes19c264.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes24c259$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0610654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes33c250$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes19c249$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1228828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Yes20c248.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes15c246$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.242222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f16…4969backed Yes33c242.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a2…3d2abacked No68c238.83$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+116.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No66c228.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.862638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes29c224.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Yes30c221.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.415757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No65c219.48$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.043652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No67c203.96$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.263847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3828141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes30c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+83.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No74c195.58$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.545253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No69c177.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.263942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes24c168.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.83441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57bb…4a87backed Yes30c168.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No76c166.69$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.242065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed Yes17c165$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.272924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-44.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes32c163$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1628451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab24…8c8ebacked No75c162.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.895100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.011526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb489…1995backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f10…c3b2backed Yes34c147.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05cc…73edbacked No73c137.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffa8…a398backed Yes8c130$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No79c112.05$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No66c105.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.046863.2%43 W · 25 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes31c101.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.973435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6155…0dd4backed Yes25c100.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277238.9%28 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c4…ff35backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7590%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216740.3%27 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f70…6215backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.