TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$715,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$700,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15e0…8d86backed No31c145,208$45,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,145.372030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Yes69c120,304$82,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,990.051618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes46c73,532$34,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,115.8711230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No48c38,078$18,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,684.4416242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda93…f09cbacked No32c35,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,800616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No31c29,910$9,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,637.92657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes43c25,428$11,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,020.472714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes59c22,494$13,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,271.391533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes64c22,286$14,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,363.843641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes42c21,007$8,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,740.5428043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Yes24c20,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No61c17,368$10,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,852.4214345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x029c…be5ebacked Yes38c14,669$5,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,641.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No37c13,933$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,843.319137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes65c10,271$6,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,708.5160%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked No76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked No33c8,330$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,581.34723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes65c7,700$5,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0361040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Yes65c6,822$4,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.512326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes67c6,502$4,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.13458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No25c6,000$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,525.7122344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes38c5,529$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.8310046%46 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes13c5,331$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.676136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes35c4,275$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e4…38eabacked Yes65c4,033$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,618.031266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c3,993$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.084459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes68c3,662$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4908023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60f…7d85backed Yes25c3,639$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.13825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Yes62c3,577$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.162429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes27c3,477$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.231070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes67c3,450$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No70c3,390$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.945253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes44c3,292$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4609149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No76c3,055$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.754030%12 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…9c72backed Yes68c2,935$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No69c2,929$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.1765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes26c2,523$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.924628.3%13 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed No32c2,194$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.926633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes38c2,071$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.328721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No68c2,056$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.062650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes65c2,000$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.5513253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74017823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-72.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes26c2,000$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3910654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49db…3d28backed Yes51c1,962$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Yes56c1,942$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes31c1,883$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.326039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes60c1,881$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.761,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6a…596fbacked Yes30c1,680$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No48c1,634$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.598231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes13c1,564$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8518740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes68c1,510$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0273243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa470…465abacked Yes43c1,455$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No32c1,454$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9921060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked No50c1,367$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.643435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked Yes51c1,271$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No31c1,264$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.141,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x331a…d80ebacked Yes67c1,252$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.81838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes71c1,246$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.5212949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes61c1,200$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73225244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed No31c1,187$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.775042%21 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes51c1,177$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes52c1,160$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes36c1,128$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e9…62c3backed Yes53c1,101$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+96.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No76c983.75$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.512737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes26c930.15$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8429553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No74c906.3$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.418640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No74c890.15$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.442360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No33c871.63$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.711,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc03…21eabacked Yes77c854.01$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes49c809.12$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.887744.2%34 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c91…9af7backed Yes35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc48…6dcdbacked Yes27c735.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes30c700.09$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.712138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4762825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Yes69c699.51$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.61450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed Yes44c695$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.752437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No66c675.29$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.65438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No65c600.3$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.133650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No34c599.97$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9831650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes29c580$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.12920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes24c579.08$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-78.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efa…f8c4backed Yes69c550$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb54c…61b0backed Yes29c544.83$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes31c543.76$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.623016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No78c526.69$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.361478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfca…96bbbacked Yes57c447.37$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes28c436$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.082326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed Yes25c398.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.651145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a4…01f0backed Yes34c397.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes23c389.84$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes69c385.51$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No68c351.3$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.175860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes29c341.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No65c338.93$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.382065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.