Tennis · resolved market
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 French Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993f880d5f0c8f03bab6bfc03fe01bb2569ee5a159bca9aef09dde90e9274ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 15c | 3,963$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…1cedbacked Yes | 25c | 1,594$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 12c | 483.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 4c | 268.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 96.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…8c8ebacked No | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 French Open? this page
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?Yes won
- Will Danielle Collins win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Diana Shnaider win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Emma Navarro win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Lois Boisson win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Madison Keys win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Paula Badosa win the 2025 French Open? No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2025 French Open? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.