TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9879…eae8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Will Belinda Bencic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+53.3%+$106.56
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$455.56
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+178.7%+$535.96
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+555.2%+$1,110.48
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$52.52
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$331.52
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Bitcoin all time high before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$770.23
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$696.73
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+171.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+121.2%+$121.24
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$127.42
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$234.51
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+486%+$539.48
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.16
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+1,229.2%+$1,216.64
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,596Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+203.9%+$5,293.6
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.