World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x337e2ad8afc7ceae001ef1ed3611ae61addf2e1047e7ecfe9ad37e05c721ea3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0886…6072backed No | 20c | 28,421$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 63c | 18,992$11,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.18 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 72c | 11,898$8,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 8,788$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…2325backed Yes | 76c | 7,834$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 71c | 5,791$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.59 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 9c | 3,915$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.28 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 23c | 3,741$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.25 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…ee78backed No | 15c | 2,934$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 11c | 2,483$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.62 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 18c | 2,417$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.48 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 76c | 2,052$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 19c | 2,026$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 79c | 1,701$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.06 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa587…09b7backed Yes | 77c | 1,632$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 78c | 1,596$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 63c | 1,535$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.82 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…3fdcbacked Yes | 73c | 1,491$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 62c | 1,489$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 1,443$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 76c | 1,439$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.46 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes | 47c | 1,428$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.53 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed Yes | 73c | 1,416$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.74 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 14c | 1,408$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…773bbacked No | 16c | 1,375$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +201.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 1,364$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 72c | 1,343$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.32 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…cff7backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…072bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,239$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 12c | 1,120$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 1,036$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2466…e4afbacked Yes | 62c | 947.06$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b7…e1dfbacked Yes | 69c | 872.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 63c | 836.35$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 68c | 826.34$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.72 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…10bcbacked No | 25c | 800.52$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…1d60backed No | 9c | 733.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…95fabacked No | 17c | 726.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21a…51cbbacked Yes | 63c | 705.28$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 20c | 684.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…ce77backed Yes | 63c | 657.12$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…eae8backed Yes | 80c | 627.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…18a1backed No | 15c | 600.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 48c | 586.54$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 2c | 576.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 78c | 572.03$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…4073backed Yes | 80c | 569.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 12c | 544.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…9f2cbacked Yes | 66c | 543.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes | 78c | 515.6$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 78c | 509.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 21c | 489.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…2ec3backed No | 18c | 455.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 46c | 439.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 69c | 434.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…9ebfbacked No | 24c | 411.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 43c | 370.12$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.97 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…5158backed Yes | 72c | 369$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 71c | 362.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes | 76c | 353$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cc…78fcbacked Yes | 43c | 351.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 76c | 350.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 39c | 338.89$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…ce86backed Yes | 65c | 304.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6697backed No | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…e62dbacked Yes | 76c | 287.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…a43cbacked Yes | 64c | 267.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 255.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 62c | 254.82$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 23c | 250.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…38f1backed No | 18c | 248.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…bde0backed Yes | 66c | 242.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f4…b654backed Yes | 60c | 242.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 68c | 239.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 15c | 238.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 26c | 223.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 21c | 223.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…b7acbacked Yes | 76c | 215.05$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 69c | 210$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 71c | 189.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…a583backed No | 50c | 183.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 20c | 180.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…29fdbacked Yes | 51c | 180.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ce…4c39backed No | 22c | 174.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…82d3backed No | 11c | 155$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 10c | 153.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 64c | 152.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 68c | 142$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 8c | 131.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d54abacked Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…7462backed Yes | 75c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…a434backed Yes | 77c | 129.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…3bcdbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…fa76backed Yes | 78c | 114$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd308…00bbbacked Yes | 78c | 101.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?this page
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of SOS?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.