World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520285e16210777723f6f7a004e7463f6417655a1d394d419e8e138500ac4eca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 14,414$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.5 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 6c | 12,649$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.01 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…1dc6backed Yes | 14c | 11,919$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f29…2028backed Yes | 5c | 11,771$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…95fabacked Yes | 18c | 10,567$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…3fdcbacked Yes | 14c | 10,158$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 7c | 8,276$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.63 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 4c | 6,761$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.54 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,128$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…1d60backed Yes | 2c | 5,911$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 10c | 5,697$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.07 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,360$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 5,021$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.11 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 29c | 4,658$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.51 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 4c | 4,578$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes | 2c | 4,255$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 6c | 3,798$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 34c | 3,585$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.44 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…a61fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,562$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f2…f658backed Yes | 9c | 3,383$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdef…82acbacked Yes | 5c | 3,202$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f06dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,177$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 2c | 2,666$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…0054backed Yes | 3c | 2,449$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 1c | 2,340$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 11c | 2,189$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,107$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…6eb5backed Yes | 33c | 2,044$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.04 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…e43cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,980$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 6c | 1,770$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…9511backed Yes | 6c | 1,730$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,670$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 14c | 1,615$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 5c | 1,455$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 24c | 1,302$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.09 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked Yes | 7c | 1,272$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 18c | 1,266$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.67 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…a358backed Yes | 8c | 1,236$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…38f1backed Yes | 7c | 1,148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…82ddbacked Yes | 5c | 1,104$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…5b95backed Yes | 9c | 1,093$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…488dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b0…8512backed Yes | 3c | 960$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 949.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…5158backed Yes | 1c | 908.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 884.79$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 13c | 884.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cc…78fcbacked Yes | 12c | 882.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 779.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2466…e4afbacked Yes | 31c | 743.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…38efbacked Yes | 8c | 612.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…30aabacked Yes | 10c | 591.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…4b0abacked Yes | 31c | 538.43$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 6c | 534.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…5263backed Yes | 13c | 522$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9dc1backed Yes | 12c | 510$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…b832backed Yes | 10c | 509.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…4461backed Yes | 5c | 496.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8914…dd24backed Yes | 9c | 479.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb09…ceffbacked Yes | 23c | 468.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…8fe0backed Yes | 7c | 464.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…bc5bbacked Yes | 6c | 446.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 21c | 435$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 13c | 418.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Yes | 7c | 418.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…5838backed Yes | 4c | 399.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 30c | 338.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…025bbacked Yes | 21c | 336.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…10c8backed Yes | 15c | 335.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 6c | 318.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…c940backed Yes | 6c | 316.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…950ebacked Yes | 10c | 308.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…f779backed Yes | 16c | 291.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d54abacked Yes | 35c | 290$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…2d40backed Yes | 52c | 289.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…ce10backed Yes | 36c | 280.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9835…e569backed Yes | 22c | 277.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…a72ebacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 12c | 238.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…2ec3backed Yes | 4c | 236.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…688dbacked Yes | 4c | 235.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9168…445cbacked Yes | 29c | 223.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…c70ebacked Yes | 7c | 218.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…a997backed Yes | 12c | 218.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a83…38e9backed Yes | 6c | 205.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 70c | 199.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…81b5backed Yes | 23c | 157.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 12c | 155.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 31c | 154.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…73a9backed Yes | 59c | 137.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Yes | 33c | 116.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…1eb4backed Yes | 19c | 105.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…a0bdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…e933backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…108dbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…9806backed Yes | 10c | 99.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…8fe3backed Yes | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?this page
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of SOS?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.