TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x088c…3f3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$61.64
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Osakabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.01
ATP Toronto – Davidovich Fokina vs. Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$252
ATP Toronto – Etcheverry vs. Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$233.01
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.78
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.89
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Navarro (W)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+32%+$69.41
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$85.34
Wimbledon: Noskova vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.47
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$401.35
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Munar backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$100.13
Wimbledon: Dimitrov vs. Ofnerbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$22
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Fokina backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.08
Wimbledon: Fucsovics vs. Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.73
Wimbledon: Pavlyuchenkova vs. Osaka (W) backed Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$47.57
Wimbledon: Dimitrov vs. Moutetbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+68%+$60.03
Wimbledon: Auger-Aliassime vs. Struffbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.7
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$38.85
Wimbledon: Yastremska vs. Gauff (W)backed Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$72.59
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.91
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$27.14
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.94
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus Vincerebacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,534.4
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Natus Vincerebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.19
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+285%+$412.84
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. G2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$393.88
Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.81
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$18
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. G2backed The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$10.36
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.31
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$28.49
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$94.37
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.9%+$33.65
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$429
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.84
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.93
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.25
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$24.86
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$42.49
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.52
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.89
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+392.4%+$111.26
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+474.7%+$124.09
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$34.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UEFA Europa Conference League Final: Real Betis vs. Chelseabacked Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$20.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$76.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.